FNUS73 KEAX 211459 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR COREOPSIS...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 959 AM CDT WED APR 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK UPPER STORM SYSTEM MAY PROVIDE FOR A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS THE REST OF THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES LATER TODAY AND THURSDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL INCREASE THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ON THURSDAY...ALONG WITH AN INCREASE OF GULF MOISTURE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD SOUTH TO NORTH ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH INTO MISSOURI. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....57 AT IGNITION...MAX 71. MIN HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. CWR.................23 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS CALM TO SOUTHWEST AT 3-4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300-6400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 76 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........79 78 77 76 75 74 73 74 75 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............54 59 62 65 67 69 71 70 69 RH..............86 73 60 57 53 50 47 48 50 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W S SE S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 3 2 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 53. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM SKY (%).........75 76 77 79 81 82 83 83 84 84 85 85 WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............68 65 62 60 59 58 57 56 55 54 54 53 RH..............52 56 62 66 68 70 72 74 77 80 83 87 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 70. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 62 PERCENT. CWR.................50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........86 85 84 84 83 82 82 82 83 84 85 86 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............53 54 57 60 62 65 66 68 69 70 70 69 RH..............90 89 82 76 72 69 67 64 62 62 62 63 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 15 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...FORTIN REQUESTED BY...DEON STEINLE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100421.COREO.01/EAX