FNUS72 KMHX 211118 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR GUM BRANCH...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 718 AM EDT WED APR 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0712 EDT ON APRIL 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST TODAY THEN MOVES OFF THE COAST THIS EVENING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA ON THURSDAY. A BACKDOOR FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE STALLING SOUTH OF THE AREA AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH ON FRIDAY. THE FRONT THEN SLOWLY RETURNS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 21 TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............80 83 83 85 86 87 88 89 88 86 84 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP................54 57 58 59 62 64 64 66 66 66 65 MIN HUMIDITY........81 76 74 72 67 65 67 63 63 65 68 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)6 6 6 6 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 21 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............82 79 78 76 72 68 64 60 58 56 54 51 WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP................64 62 59 57 56 55 54 53 52 52 51 51 MIN HUMIDITY........70 72 80 86 90 93 96 96 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)8 6 5 2 5 6 7 9 9 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 15 15 15 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5900-6200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............48 46 44 43 42 40 38 36 35 35 37 38 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TEMP................50 50 54 58 62 67 69 70 72 73 72 71 MIN HUMIDITY........100 100 83 69 58 47 44 41 37 35 38 39 20 FT WIND DIR......NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD (MPH)10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...CULLEN REQUESTED BY...JAMES CHERRY TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100421.GUMBR.01/MHX