FNUS72 KMLB 211110
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DISNEY WILDERNESS PRESERVE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
710 AM EDT WED APR 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE BURN SITE THIS
AFTERNOON.  AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
VEER FROM SOUTH/SOUTHWEST TO WEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL CHANCES WILL DIMINISH GRADUALLY THROUGH THE DAY AS THE
FRONT PUSHES DRIER AIR INTO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.  SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)         11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV........SCT SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.......RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP...............74  76  78  80  81  80  79  76  73  71  69  68
RH.................64  57  52  48  44  45  47  51  57  62  66  70
20 FT WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD.....7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST....        10  10  10  10


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
LVORI...............0.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...NEIL CLINEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100421.DISNE.01/MLB