FNUS75 KMSO 211213
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SMOKE CREEK 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
613 AM MDT WED APR 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY...AS A
PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. EASTERLY WINDS
AT RIDGETOP WILL DIRECT SMOKE WEST OF THE BURN FOR MOST OF
TODAY...HOWEVER WINDS WILL BECOME WESTERLY BY SUNSET. A FEW SHOWERS
WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN DURING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM IN THE VICINITY. IF A THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPS...WINDS MAY BECOME A BIT ERRATIC FOR A TIME. SHOWERS WILL
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
                    TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2-5 MPH
                    DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4400 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. OTHERWISE...CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6-7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ZUMPFE
REQUESTED BY...JASON SUNELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100421.SMOKE.01/MSO