FNUS72 KTAE 211011
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR AUCILLA WMA...FWC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
611 AM EDT WED APR 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 21. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850) 942-8835.

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION TODAY. ALTHOUGH
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY NOT BE MET ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND...
DISPERSION VALUES WILL BE HIGH...SO ANY OCCURRENCE OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL REQUIRE A RED FLAG WARNING. THEREFORE...WE HAVE
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR OUR NORTHERNMOST COUNTIES ALONG THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND. ON THURSDAY...LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY APPEAR MORE LIKELY...SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO
MOISTEN AHEAD OF A STRONG STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY...SO NO FIRE WEATHER
WATCHES OR WARNINGS SHOULD BE NEEDED THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........AREAS OF EARLY MORNING FOG THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL THIS
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST AT 10 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........110.


TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     76     77     80     78     74
RH..............58     43     42     34     40     48
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    W 7    W 7    W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL EARLY...DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION..........5.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION..........67.

$$

FORECASTER...GOULD/HARRIGAN
REQUESTED BY...MORGAN WILBUR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100421.AUCIL.01/TAE