FNUS73 KMQT 221128 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR CARLSON RD OPENINGS...GLFFC/MIDNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 728 AM EDT THU APR 22 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE...WITH ONLY PATCHY CLOUDS EXPECTED...AND THE LAKE MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZE PICKING UP BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE. ALTHOUGH THE LAKE BREEZE WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN WIND SPEED...IT WILL LIKELY KEEP HUMIDITY VALUES IN CHECK...BOTTOMING OUT AROUND 39 PERCENT. WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL BE AROUND ONE FOOT. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER 2000. FOR FRIDAY...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO BE ROUGHLY 5 DEGREES WARMER ACROSS THE BURN AREA...AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST...AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER SOUTHERLY WINDS DEVELOP. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41 AT IGNITION...MAX 49. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH BY LATE MORNING. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (91) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (141). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900-3800 FT AGL BY LATE MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%)...........26 28 30 31 30 28 26 24 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP..............41 44 46 47 48 48 48 48 46 RH................57 48 44 39 40 42 44 43 44 GENERAL WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S GENERAL WIND SPD.. 6 6 6 9 9 9 8 8 8 GENERAL WIND GST..15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 VINDX KT-FT/100...91 106 113 114 112 141 126 103 96 MIX HGT (KFT)....3.0 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.5 3.1 2.6 1.9 HAINES INDEX.......5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 31. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 91 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (10). MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM SKY (%)..........21 20 17 15 13 11 10 10 11 11 11 12 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP.............45 43 41 38 36 36 34 33 33 32 32 31 RH...............44 49 55 63 66 70 75 78 82 86 88 91 GENERAL WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S GENERAL WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 GENERAL WIND GST.10 10 10 10 10 10 VINDX KT-FT/100..66 42 24 13 10 13 18 20 20 23 20 18 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 HAINES INDEX......4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 54. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 39 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH. VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (358). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-2400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........12 15 18 21 21 22 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............32 42 50 53 54 53 RH..............89 63 48 41 39 41 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 6 S 8 S 9 S 9 S 7 GENERAL GUST....10 10 15 15 15 15 VINDX KT-FT/100.25 60 155 321 321 207 MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 1600 2300 2300 1600 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...JLA/KF REQUESTED BY...S LAKOSKY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100422.CARLS.01/MQT