FNUS74 KLIX 261245 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR CPT F-03...U.S. FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 745 AM CDT MON APR 26 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT BETWEEN WNW AND WEST BUT LIKELY INCREASE INTO THE 10-15 MPH RANGE. LOWER TD/S AND HIGHS IN THE LOW 80S WILL RESULT IN MIN RH/S UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY BUT RAIN POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE QUITE LOW. HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THAT FRONT WITH QUICKLY TRACK TOWARDS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WHICH WILL BRING ONSHORE FLOW OF MOISTURE TO THE AREA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS SETUP WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND...SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. .REMARKS... 1. FOG POTENTIAL IS FAIRLY LOW BUT POSSIBLE. SHOULD BE AT LEAST A FEW DEGREE SPREAD IN T/TD OVERNIGHT. WOULD BE MORE SURPRISED TO SEE FOG THAN NOT. 2. MODERATE TO HIGH PROBABILITY OF WINDS BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT. 3. CURRENT FORECAST HAS MIN RH OF OF AROUND 39 PCT. IT IS VERY POSSIBLE THAT RH COULD DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT DURING PEAK HEATING. 4. SUBSIDENCE IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA LAST NIGHT. NOT EXCEPTED TO BE TERRIBLY STRONG THOUGH AS THE RIDGE IS FAIRLY WEAK AND LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THIS COULD DROP TD/S SLIGHTLY MORE THAT FORECAST. 5. WINDS SHOULD NOT BE AFFECTED TOO MUCH BY SEABREEZE AS WINDS ARE MOSTLY SYNOPTIC DRIVEN TODAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6900 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 23 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........0 6 6 6 11 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 75 79 80 79 RH..............63 46 41 41 44 20 FT WIND......WNW 6 WNW 8 W 9 W 8 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)700 5200 5800 5800 6900 MIX HGT (M-AGL).210 1580 1770 1770 2100 TRAN WIND (MPH).NW 12 NW 21 W 22 W 22 NW 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 5 NW 9 W 10 W 10 NW 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....57. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH BECOMING NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........11 14 25 25 49 70 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 71 65 63 61 59 RH..............45 57 70 75 81 83 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 W 3 W 2 W 1 W 1 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)6900 1600 400 400 400 400 MIX HGT (M-AGL).2100 490 120 120 120 120 TRAN WIND (MPH).NW 23 NW 17 NW 9 NW 9 N 9 N 8 TRAN WIND (M/S).NW 10 NW 8 NW 4 NW 4 N 4 N 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....75. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4800 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........70 74 73 73 60 44 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP............58 60 68 72 74 74 RH..............83 75 54 46 43 41 20 FT WIND......W 1 W 3 W 5 NW 8 NW 9 NW 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT-AGL)400 500 4400 4400 4800 4600 MIX HGT (M-AGL).120 150 1340 1340 1460 1400 TRAN WIND (MPH).N 8 NE 7 N 14 N 14 NW 5 W 7 TRAN WIND (M/S).N 4 NE 3 N 6 N 6 NW 2 W 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE EFFERSON REQUESTED BY...SAMI GRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100426.CPTF0.01/LIX