FNUS73 KBIS 291424 FWSBIS SPOT FORECAST FOR STATE PARK...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND 924 AM CDT THU APR 29 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE ENCOMPASSING MOST OF MONTANA...WYOMING...NORTH AND SOUTH DAKOTA WILL BRING A CONTINUED CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE PROPOSED BURN AREA TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. TIMING OF THESE SHOWERS WILL BE DIFFICULT...HOWEVER THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION WILL RESIDE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS TODAY AS COLD AIR ABOVE THE GROUND COMBINED WITH SOME SUNSHINE AND HEATING IN THE LOWEST LEVELS PROVIDES FOR GREATER INSTABILITY AND SHOWER THREAT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY LIGHT UP TO 10 MPH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........56F AT IGNITION...MAX 63F. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS MAY GUST TO 15 MPH IN AND AROUND ANY RAIN SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. LAL.................2. CWR.................21 PERCENT. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....35F. MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. LAL.................2. CWR.................14 PERCENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58F. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD. LAL.................2. CWR.................38 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...SIMOSKO REQUESTED BY...CHRIS GORDON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100429.STATE.01/BIS