FNUS71 KCTP 291754 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTIA UNIT 3...PA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 154 PM EDT THU APR 29 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... WINDS WILL WEAKEN THIS EVENING AND BECOME NEARLY CALM OVERNIGHT...AND THE DEWPOINTS SHOULD BEGIN TO RISE SLIGHTLY. THIS SHOULD LESSEN THE FIRE SPREAD THREAT DURING THE EVENING HOURS. ANTICIPATE THE CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING TO BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...BUT AM JUST NOW CONSIDERING POSTING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH -FOR FRIDAY AS WELL. WHILE DEWPOINTS WILL RISE...THE TEMPS WILL ALSO CLIMB INTO THE 80S IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD MAKE IT A PRETTY CLOSE CALL ON MIN RH/S GETTING BELOW 30PCT DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BUT NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS TODAY...GENERALLY AROUND 8-10MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AT TIMES. WINDS WILL START TO GUST DURING THE MORNING...PROBABLY RIGHT AROUND OR JUST BEFORE YOUR ANTICIPATED IGNITION. THESE WINDS WOULD ALSO PUT US ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA...BUT THE TOUGH CALL IS THE DEWPOINTS AND MIN RH/S IN THE AFTERNOON. OF COURSE...THE FUELS WILL CONTINUE TO DRY OUT. THE POSSIBILITY OF A FIRE WEATHER WATCH -FOR FRIDAY IS A STRONG ONE. WILL MAKE THAT CALL BY 3 PM. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 82. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............36 41 45 36 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................61 69 75 81 MIN HUMIDITY........49 39 34 29 WIND (20 FT)........W 7 W 10 W 12 W 13 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 25 25 .FRIDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....56. MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............25 16 13 10 7 9 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................76 71 68 65 64 61 MIN HUMIDITY........35 42 49 54 58 64 WIND (20 FT)........W 12 W 8 W 8 W 6 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....20 15 10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............13 16 29 46 58 60 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP................58 59 69 77 81 83 MIN HUMIDITY........76 77 57 46 42 40 WIND (20 FT)........W 5 W 6 W 7 SW 9 SW 12 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 15 20 20 20 $$ FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100430.SCOTI.01/CTP