FNUS71 KCTP 011027 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SEVEN MTNS...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 627 AM EDT SAT MAY 1 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1800 EDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED WELL EAST OF THE CAROLINA COAST...WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING NORTH ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST...WILL BRING ANOTHER VERY WARM AND MAINLY DRY DAY TO THE REGION. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE ALLEGHENY PLATEAU OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND WILL AVERAGE 6 TO 11 MPH LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...AND GUSTS WILL BE GENERALLY NEAR OR BELOW 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 35 PERCENT. SKIES WILL BECOME MOSTLY CLOUDY IN ALL AREAS TONIGHT...THOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIMITED TO MAINLY THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS WILL PERSIST SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY...AS A SECOND FRONT AND WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE SLIDES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE UPCOMING 2 TO 3 DAYS WILL AVERAGE AROUND ONE INCH...WITH LOCALLY OVER 2 INCHES POSSIBLE WHERE SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1400...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 31 TO 39 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............23 30 33 35 39 43 47 51 52 54 58 61 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........ TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP................53 54 60 63 67 71 73 76 78 80 83 81 MIN HUMIDITY........87 87 74 66 60 53 49 45 42 40 37 41 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W W S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......7 9 10 10 9 8 8 5 3 5 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST..... 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....38 39 33 31 28 24 21 17 14 13 12 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).....0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0200...THEN NO TSTMS UNTIL 0500...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............65 68 70 70 71 72 73 74 74 74 72 71 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW RW TEMP................79 77 76 74 72 71 70 70 69 68 67 66 MIN HUMIDITY........44 48 51 54 56 59 60 61 63 65 68 70 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S SW SW SW S S 20 FT WIND SPD......8 7 12 12 12 12 10 10 9 8 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 10 10 10 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....16 20 24 26 28 29 28 26 25 28 31 33 CHC OF PCPN (%).....20 20 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 LAL.................3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 1400...THEN >25 STRIKES. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 33 TO 37 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............70 68 68 68 70 71 72 74 81 81 81 90 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF WEATHER TYPE........RW RW TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM RW RW RW RW TEMP................65 65 68 70 71 73 75 76 78 78 80 78 MIN HUMIDITY........75 74 68 66 63 60 56 52 49 47 44 46 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 7 9 12 13 15 16 17 17 16 15 20 FT WIND GUST..... 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 25 20 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....35 33 33 35 36 37 37 36 35 35 35 35 CHC OF PCPN (%).....30 30 50 50 50 50 50 50 80 80 80 80 LAL.................3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...BOB WETZEL TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100430.SEVEN.01/CTP