FNUS74 KLIX 301617 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1117 AM CDT FRI APR 30 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... .SURFACE... HIGH PRESSURE HAS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE THE PLAINS. THIS IS STRENGTHENING THE ONSHORE FLOW WITH NUMEROUS BUOYS AND PILOT STATIONS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20KTS AND GUSTS UP TO 25KTS STILL. LOOK FOR THIS TO THROUGH THE DAY AND STRENGTHEN OVER NIGHT. .AVIATION... MVFR CEILINGS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS WITH CLOUD BASES HOVERING AROUND 1500-2K FT THROUGH MIDDAY. BOOTHVILLE HAS BEEN HOVERING RIGHT BETWEEN 1700 AND 2K FT. THIS AFTERNOON CEILINGS SHOULD FINALLY BEGIN TO RISE ABOVE 3K FT. AS FOR WINDS GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS ABOUT 100-200 FT ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL LIKELY REMAIN NEAR 25 KTS THROUGH THE MORNING BUT BY THIS AFTERNOON COULD WEAKEN TO AROUND 20-25KTS. A FEW GUSTS APPROACHING 30KTS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION BUT OVERALL 100FT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW 30KTS. JUST ABOVE THAT AT AROUND 500-1K FT WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY HOVERING BETWEEN 25 AND 30KTS. THE OTHER ISSUE WILL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY. THESE OF COURSE COULD LOWER CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IN ADDITION TO BRINGING ABOUT LIGHTNING AND WINDS GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30KTS. .RADAR... AT 11AM CDT RADAR SHOWED MOSTLY A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM NORTH OF THE 29TH PARALLEL AND EAST OF 88.8W MERIDIAN. THIS ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN ON THE WEAK SIDE BUT BRIEF GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30KTS WITH THE OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE POSSIBLE. LOOK FOR ACTIVITY TO REMAIN ISOLATED BUT POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE DAY OVER MUCH OF THE OIL SLICK. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH BRIEF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34KTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION IS IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE REALM OF SEEING A WATERSPOUT OR TWO PLEASE WATCH OUT FOR THESE!!! .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%)..........78 78 53 53 53 49 49 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP.............75 76 76 76 76 76 76 RH...............93 90 87 90 90 90 94 100 FT WND DIR...SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 100 FT WND SPD...20 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 100 FT WND GUST..28 28 28 28 27 27 28 28 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD..28 28 26 26 26 25 25 TRANS SPD (M/S)..13 13 12 12 12 11 11 CHC OF PCPN (%)..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS.............6 6 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE........ROUGH...................... HRLY RAIN (IN)...0.120.120.120.120.120.120.12 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 53 62 62 72 75 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............75 73 73 73 73 73 RH..............94 100 97 93 93 93 100 FT WIND.....S 23 S 24 SE 24 SE 25 SE 25 SE 25 100 FT WND GUST.31 32 33 33 33 33 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 400 400 500 500 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 120 120 150 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 26 SE 27 SE 28 SE 29 SE 27 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 12 S 12 SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............7 8 8 8 9 9 SEA STATE.......20 20 20 20 20 20 HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........75 78 78 78 64 64 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 74 78 80 81 81 RH..............93 90 82 77 74 74 100 FT WIND.....SSE 21 SSE 21 SSE 20 SSE 18 SSE 18 SSE 18 100 FT WID GUST.30 30 30 29 29 29 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 400 400 400 400 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 120 120 120 120 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 28 SE 28 S 31 S 31 S 32 S 28 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 13 SE 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............9 10 10 10 11 11 SEA STATE.......20 10 10 10 10 10 HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100430.DEEPW.03/LIX