FNUS74 KLIX 301807 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 107 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... .SURFACE... HIGH PRESSURE HAS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE THE PLAINS. THIS IS STRENGTHENING THE ONSHORE FLOW WITH NUMEROUS BUOYS AND PILOT STATIONS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20KTS AND GUSTS UP TO 25KTS STILL. LOOK FOR THIS TO THROUGH THE DAY AND STRENGTHEN OVER NIGHT. .AVIATION... BACK EDGE OF THE LOWEST AND THICKEST CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE THROUGH HUM BEFORE 130PM CDT BUT SCT TO BKN LOW CLOUDS HOVERING BETWEEN 1K-1500FT IS LIKELY THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON. AT NOON GAO/HUM/PTN WERE ALL UNDER OVC SKIES BETWEEN 400 AND 1100FT. FURTHER EAST TOWARDS BVE AND VENICE THE BKN DECK WAS STILL ABOVE 2K BUT FEW TO SCT CLOUDS WERE AROUND 1500-1700FT. THE LINE OF LOWER CEILINGS MAY BEGIN TO IMPACT BVE AND VENICE AROUND 130PM. THIS COULD DROP CEILINGS DOWN TO 1K-1500 FT. EAST OVER THE GULF WATERS THE SKIES WILL BOUNCE BETWEEN SCT TO BKN RANGING FROM 1300-2K FT BUT OVERALL THE MAJORITY OF CIGS SHOULD REMAIN RIGHT AT OR ABOVE 1500FT. 100FT WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SE AND SSE AROUND 20KT GUSTING TO 25KTS AND WITH INFREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 30KT POSSIBLE. LOW CLOUDS LOOK TO REMAIN A PROBLEM MUCH OF THE DAY BUT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EAST OF VENICE THEY MAY REMAIN RIGHT AT THAT CRITICAL 1500FT LEVEL. .RADAR... AT 1PM CDT RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BASICALLY 50-80 DUE SOUTH OF MOBILE BAY. LOOK FOR ACTIVITY TO REMAIN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED WITH POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OFF OF THE MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA COAST. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH BRIEF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34KTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION IS IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE REALM OF SEEING A WATERSPOUT OR TWO PLEASE WATCH OUT FOR THESE!!! .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........53 53 53 49 49 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............73 75 76 76 76 RH..............100 97 94 90 90 100 FT WND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE 100 FT WND SPD..20 20 21 21 21 100 FT WND GUST.28 27 27 27 28 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.26 26 26 25 25 TRANS SPD (M/S).12 12 12 11 11 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......20 20 20 20 20 HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.120.120.120.120.12 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........49 53 62 62 72 75 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............76 74 73 73 73 73 RH..............90 97 97 93 93 93 100 FT WIND.....S 23 S 24 SE 24 SE 25 SE 25 SE 25 100 FT WND GUST.31 32 33 33 33 33 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 400 400 500 500 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 120 120 150 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 25 S 26 SE 27 SE 28 SE 29 SE 27 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 12 S 12 SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............7 8 8 8 9 9 SEA STATE.......20 20 20 20 20 20 HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........75 78 78 78 64 64 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............73 74 78 80 81 81 RH..............93 90 82 77 74 74 100 FT WIND.....SSE 21 SSE 21 SSE 20 SSE 18 SSE 18 SSE 18 100 FT WID GUST.30 29 29 28 27 27 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 400 400 400 400 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 120 120 120 120 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 28 SE 28 S 31 S 31 S 32 S 28 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 13 SE 13 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............9 10 10 10 11 11 SEA STATE.......20 10 10 10 10 10 HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100430.DEEPW.05/LIX