FNUS74 KLIX 301914 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 214 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... .SURFACE... HIGH PRESSURE HAS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE THE PLAINS. THIS IS STRENGTHENING THE ONSHORE FLOW WITH NUMEROUS BUOYS AND PILOT STATIONS REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20KTS AND GUSTS UP TO 25KTS STILL. LOOK FOR THIS TO THROUGH THE DAY AND STRENGTHEN OVER NIGHT. .AVIATION... THICK LOW CLOUDS BETWEEN 500-1100 FT REMAIN OVER HUM AND GAO BUT JUST OFF TO THE EAST NEAR BVE AND VENICE CEILINGS ARE RIGHT AROUND 2K FT. CEILINGS MAY STILL DROP TO AROUND 1500FT OVER BVE AND VENICE. FURTHER EAST OVER THE GULF WATERS THE SKIES WILL BOUNCE BETWEEN SCT TO BKN RANGING FROM 1500-2200 FT BUT IT LOOKS OVERALL THE MAJORITY OF CIGS SHOULD REMAIN RIGHT AT OR ABOVE 1500FT. THERE IS AN AREA OF CLEARING ABOUT 35 MILES TO THE SSE. THIS SHOULD MOVE OVER THE OIL ORIGINATION POINT BY 1430 BUT NO LATER THAN 1500. 100FT WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SE AND SSE AROUND 20KT GUSTING TO 25KTS AND WITH INFREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 30KT POSSIBLE. .RADAR... AT 2PM CDT RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BASICALLY 25-50 MILES SSE OF MOBILE BAY. THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN RATHER STRONG. WEST OF THE 88TH MERIDIAN ACROSS MUCH OF THE COASTAL WATERS OFF MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA THE RADAR IS CLEAR AND OUTSIDE OF THE WEAK SMALL SHOWER WE SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. WE COULD SEE REDEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT OF ISTD TO SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH BRIEF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34KTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION IS IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE REALM OF A WATERSPOUT OR TWO DEVELOPING ESPECIALLY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........51 59 59 59 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............75 75 76 76 RH..............94 94 94 90 100 FT WND DIR..SE SE SE SE 100 FT WND SPD..17 18 18 18 100 FT WND GUST.26 26 26 27 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.32 32 26 26 TRANS SPD (M/S).14 14 12 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 SEAS............5 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......VERY ROUGH.... HRLY RAIN (IN)..02..02..02..02 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........59 63 64 64 66 63 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............76 74 73 73 73 73 RH..............90 97 97 93 93 93 20 FT WIND......SE 15 S 15 SE 16 SE 17 SE 17 SE 16 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....900 400 400 400 500 500 MIX HGT (M).....270 120 120 120 150 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 26 SE 19 SE 20 SE 20 SE 21 SE 26 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 13 SE 10 SE 11 SE 11 SE 11 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............6 7 8 8 9 9 SEA STATE.......VERY ROUGH............................... HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 58 55 55 50 56 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 74 78 80 81 81 RH..............93 90 82 77 74 74 20 FT WIND......S 15 S 14 S 14 S 14 SE 15 SE 15 20 FT WIND GUST.35 30 30 30 35 35 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 500 500 400 400 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 150 150 120 120 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 26 SE 26 SE 25 SE 25 SE 21 SE 28 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 13 SE 13 SE 12 SE 12 SE 11 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............9 10 10 10 10 10 SEA STATE.......VERY ROUGH.............................. HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100430.DEEPW.06/LIX