FNUS74 KLIX 302011 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 311 PM CDT FRI APR 30 2010 .DISCUSSION... .SURFACE... HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND A COLD FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE THE PLAINS. THIS IS WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SOME TONIGHT BUT BUOYS AND PILOT STATIONS ARE ALREADY REPORTING SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20KTS AND GUSTS UP TO 25KTS STILL. .AVIATION... THICK LOW CLOUDS BETWEEN 500-1000 FT REMAIN OVER HUM AND GAO BUT JUST OFF TO THE EAST NEAR BVE AND VENICE CEILINGS ARE RIGHT AROUND 1500 FT WITH OVC SKIES AT 2500FT. FURTHER EAST OVER THE GULF WATERS THE SKIES WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE OVERALL WITH SCT TO BKN CEILINGS RANGING FROM 1500-2200 FT. THERE IS AN AREA OF CLEARING ABOUT 20 MILES TO THE SSE BUT SKIES ARE ALREADY THINNING OUT OVER THE AREA WHERE THE RIG WAS. 100FT WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SE AND SSE AROUND 20KT GUSTING TO 25KTS AND WITH INFREQUENT GUSTS UP TO 30KT POSSIBLE. .RADAR... AT 3PM CDT RADAR SHOWED A FEW SHOWERS BEGINNING TO POP UP ALONG THE MS COAST BUT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS EVERYTHING REMAINED QUIET. R STRONG. WE COULD SEE REDEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT OF ISTD TO SCT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG WITH BRIEF WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34KTS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING. IN ADDITION IS IS NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE REALM OF A WATERSPOUT OR TWO DEVELOPING ESPECIALLY DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TOMORROW. .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........54 54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............76 76 76 RH..............90 85 87 100 FT WND DIR..S S S 100 FT WND SPD..15 15 18 100 FT WND GUST.27 27 28 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 0.8 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.27 27 26 TRANS SPD (M/S).13 13 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 SEAS............7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VERY ROUGH.. HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.020.020.02 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 57 60 60 65 61 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............75 74 73 73 73 73 RH..............87 90 93 97 97 97 100 FT WND......SE 15 S 15 SE 16 SE 17 SE 17 SE 16 100 FT WND GUST.31 31 30 29 29 29 MIX HGT (FT)....800 500 400 400 500 500 MIX HGT (M).....240 150 120 120 150 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 26 SE 19 SE 20 SE 20 SE 21 SE 26 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 13 SE 10 SE 11 SE 11 SE 11 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............7 7 7 7 7 7 SEA STATE.......VERY ROUGH............................... HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 .SATURDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 55 53 53 50 56 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............73 74 78 80 81 81 RH..............97 93 82 74 72 69 100 FT WIND.....SSE 21 SSE 21 SSE 20 SSE 18 SSE 18 SSE 18 100 FT WID GUST.30 29 29 28 27 27 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 400 400 400 400 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 120 120 120 120 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 25 SE 26 SE 20 SE 20 SE 21 SE 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 13 SE 13 SE 12 SE 12 SE 11 SE 13 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............7 9 9 9 10 10 SEA STATE.......VERY ROUGH.............................. HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100430.DEEPW.07/LIX