FNUS74 KLIX 022110 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 410 PM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010 .SYNOPSIS... COLD FRONT FROM 10W KJAN...30W KBTR...TO BAY OF CAMPECHE MOVING E 19KT. MOISTURE PLUME POOLING 75-78F DEWPOINTS E OF FRONT THROUGH SE LA/S MS. STATIONARY BAND OF SHRA/TSRA FROM KPQL-KGPT TO NEAR KBVE WTH HVY RAFL TRAINING ALONG THIS BAND. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY COASTAL WATERS TIL 7 AM MONDAY. ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TIDAL LAKES TIL 7 PM TODAY. ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HANCOCK COUNTY TIL 7 PM TODAY. ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING LOWER JEFFERSON AND PLAQUEMINES PARISHES UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. ...SPC DAY 1 GENERAL TSTMS OVER LIX CWA TONIGHT. ...SPC DAY 2 SLIGHT RISK SEVERE TSTMS JACKSON CO MS IN LIX CWA INCLUDING GLFMEX WATERS EAST OF KGPT. GENERAL TSTMS REMAINDER OF LIX CWA. .SOUNDING... 20Z RUC13 MODEL SOUNDING FOR SPOT LOCATION INDICATES MARINE LAYER TO 900 FT ISOTHERMAL TO WARM NOSE 2400FT. COLUMN DRIES ABOVE 2500FT WITH A SHALLOW LAPSE RATE THROUGHOUT. WIND PROFILE SE 20-30KT TO 2500FT...SW 30-50KT TO 16KFT...50-70KT ABOVE 16KFT. .AVIATION... BANDED CONVECTION FROM KPQL-KGPT SSW TO KBVE BASED BKN020CB CELL MOVEMENT NNE 35KT. E OF BAND DEBRIS CI/AC SPREADING BASES BKN-OVC 040-050...OTHERWISE VFR CIGS AND VSBY OVER GLFMEX E OF MS RIVER. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 022100Z 0221/0321 18012KT 2SM BR OVC007 FM030000 18015KT 5SM -SHRA BKN012 FM030300 20010KT 3SM -RA BR BKN008 FM031200 25008KT 4SM BR SCT008 BKN015 FM031500 30005KT P6SM SCT025= KBVE 022100Z 0221/0321 18018G28KT 5SM HZ VCSH OVC042TCU TEMPO 0221/0224 1SM +SHRA BKN006 OVC025 FM030300 20012KT 4SM -RA BR BKN008 FM031400 27008KT 6SM -RA BR BKN011 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM SCT011 SCT025= KHSA 022100Z 0221/0321 18012G23KT P6SM OVC015 TEMPO 0300/0304 1SM +SHRA OVC008 FM031400 25005KT 3SM -RA OVC011 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM SCT011 SCT025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MONDAY...IFR CIGS W/SHRA. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...MVFR CIG IMPRVG VFR CAVOK LATE PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNEDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. .RADAR... AT 355 PM CDT...KLIX INDICATED AN INTENSIFYING BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM KBIX TO 10 N KBVE...CELL MOVEMENT NNE 35KT. LINE MOVEMENT DRIFT NORTH BUT EXPANDING EAST. LIGHTNING DETECTED OVER MS SOUND AND LOWER BRETON SOUND MOVING NNE. LIGHTNING DETECTED OVER GLFMEX 50NM SSW PORT FOURCHON MOVING NNE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.64 FT (+0.03 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING OFF PEAK) WYCM6 3.25 FT (-0.245 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING OFF PEAK) .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TEMP............73 73 RH..............97 97 20 FT WIND DIR..S S 20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 CIGS (FT-AGL)...B40 B40 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 SEAS............8 8 SEA STATE.......ROUGH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............73 73 74 74 74 74 RH..............97 97 97 99 99 97 20 FT WIND......S 17 S 16 S 14 S 14 S 14 S 12 20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 30 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 500 500 500 500 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 150 150 150 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 24 S 25 S 25 S 24 S 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............8 8 8 8 6 6 SEA STATE.......ROUGH.....................CHOPPY.......... .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............74 74 74 74 74 75 RH..............97 97 100 99 99 94 20 FT WIND......S 12 S 11 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 700 700 400 500 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 210 210 120 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 10 S 15 S 15 S 10 S 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 70 70 70 70 SEAS............6 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................... .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100502.DEEPW.12/LIX