FNUS73 KMPX 021122
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE CREEK W...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
622 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STUBBORN LOW PRESSURE NEAR WINNIPEG WILL DRIFT EAST...
AND BE JUST NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE LOW. AS THE LOW
MOVES EAST... MORE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON... BUT
MAINLY IN EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN. THE LOW WILL ALSO
PRODUCE SOME GUSTY WEST WINDS TODAY...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY OF 25 MPH.

THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE QUICKLY ON TUESDAY... WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    20 PERCENT.
                    TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2900-41700) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (195500-238200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-10300 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............46  50  54  57  60  62  64  65  66  66  65  63
RH..............73  63  54  49  44  41  38  37  36  36  37  39
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..9   11  12  14  14  14  15  16  16  15  14  11
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  20  25  25  25  30  30  25  25  20
HAINES INDEX....4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (166900) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (1900-6700).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 21 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 18 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...ERIC EARHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100502.GOOSE.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY