FNUS73 KMPX 021225
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TURTLE CREEK...FWS WINDOM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
725 AM CDT SUN MAY 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STUBBORN LOW PRESSURE NEAR WINNIPEG WILL DRIFT EAST...
AND BE JUST NORTH OF LAKE SUPERIOR MONDAY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF THE LOW. AS THE LOW
MOVES EAST... MORE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON... BUT
MAINLY IN EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WISCONSIN. THE LOW WILL ALSO
PRODUCE SOME GUSTY WEST WINDS TODAY...WITH GUSTS POSSIBLY OF 25 MPH.

THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE QUICKLY ON TUESDAY... WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    20 PERCENT.
                    TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2900-39500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (197800-244300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-10300 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 31
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............60  62  64  65  66  66  65  63  60  57  54  52
RH..............42  39  37  35  34  36  37  39  44  49  54  59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..15  15  16  17  17  15  12  9   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  30  30  30  25  20  15  15  15  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (168200) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (2100-5000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4800-27200) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (182900-202000).

$$
FORECASTER...MCQUIRTER
REQUESTED BY...ANDY WALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100502.TURTL.01/MPX


SKY (%) LEGEND
CLR = CLEAR
MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR
PC = PARTLY CLOUDY
MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY
CDY = CLOUDY