FNUS73 KBIS 031404
FWSBIS

SPOT FORECAST FOR PENINSULA...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
904 AM CDT MON MAY 3 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0845 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAKENING LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN MANITOBA WILL FINALLY LIFT OUT
TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE A LITTLE HIGH COMPARED TO IDEAL
BURNING CONDITIONS AND WEST NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD BE AROUND 12 TO
15 MPH AT IGNITION. THERE MAY BE A GUST OR TWO TO 20 MPH. WINDS SHOULD
SHIFT MORE TO THE SOUTHWEST BY 7 PM CDT...THEN LIGHT SOUTH WINDS LATE
THIS EVENING. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BEGIN IMPACTING NORTH DAKOTA LATE
TONIGHT...AND STRONG POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS YOUR SITE
TOMORROW MORNING. THIS WILL CAUSE A SHIFT FROM SOUTHERLY TO WESTERLY.
GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AND A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

YOU ARE ON THE BACK EDGE OF THE CLOUD COVER...WHICH IS NEAR CENTER.
UNFORTUNATELY...BY THE TIME THIS CLEARS...CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WILL
BE ON THE INCREASE. WITH ABUNDANT LOW AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE...WE EXPECT
A GOOD AMOUNT OF CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT AND FLATTENING OUT. THIS CAN ALREADY
BE SEEN ON SATELLITE TO YOUR WEST. EVEN IF YOU DO BREAK OUT OF THE CLOUDS
BY MID MORNING...I WOULD EXPECT SOME BROKEN CLOUD COVER FOR A MAJORITY OF
THE DAY DUE TO THE DEVELOPMENT AND FLATTENING OF CUMULUS CLOUDS. THE
CUMULUS BASES SHOULD LIFT TO AROUND 5000 FEET OR SO BY 3 PM CDT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
                    TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...HAMILTON
REQUESTED BY...SKALSKY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100503.PENIN.01/BIS