FNUS74 KLIX 031410 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 910 AM CDT MON MAY 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... COLD FRONT FROM KPQL TO KBVE...MOVING SE 11KT. CLOUD CLEARING LINE TYTM6-KHDC-E OF KPTN RESUMING PROGRESS SE 5-10KT. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY 1 SLIGHT RISK SVR TSTMS LIX CWA E OF LINE FM KASD-GISL1 AND COASTAL WATERS...INCLUDING OPERATIONS AREA. ...SPC DAY 2 GENERAL TSTMS E OF LINE FM BOGL1-KBVE INCLUDING COASTAL WATERS E OF MS RIVER/OPERATIONS AREA. .SOUNDING... 12Z RUC13 MODEL SOUNDING FOR SPOT LOCATION SHOWS MARINE LAYER TO 2100FT MIXING OUT AROUND 17Z WITH COLUMN DRYING ABOVE 850MB AFTER 17Z. WINDS S 5 KT SFC TO 200FT...SW 20-45KT TO 23.5KFT...SW 50KT ABOVE 23.5KFT. .NEARBY GULF AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W KIPN 031335Z AUTO 17012KT 2SM BR CLR 25/24 A2994 KMYT 031400Z AUTO 20013KT 1/2SM FG OVC009 25/24 A2992 P0002 KSPR 031400Z AUTO 02010KT 1/4SM FG VV002 23/23 A2992 .AVIATION... WIDESPREAD IFR CIGS WITH MVFR VSBY -RA BR OVER LOWER PLAQUEMINES PARISH AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BEYOND 60NM. IFR CIGS SHOULD IMPROVE WITH FROPA OVER THE NEAR COASTAL WATERS/SOUNDS BY 16Z...WITH IMPROVEMENT ADVANCING THROUGH SPOT LOCATION BY 18Z. VFR CIGS BKN040-070 AFTER 18Z. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 031400Z 0314/0414 00000KT 3SM BR OVC005 FM031500 06004KT P6SM SCT025 BKN080 FM031600 10005KT P6SM SCT050 SCT250 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= KBVE 031400Z 0314/0414 24010KT 2SM -RA BR OVC005 FM031530 23008KT P6SM SCT005 BKN025 FM031700 24008KT P6SM SCT025 BKN080 FM032000 07005KT P6SM SCT025= KHSA 031400Z 0314/0414 30005KT 6SM BR SCT008 OVC070 FM031500 33005KT P6SM FEW011 BKN070 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025 SCT250 FM040200 00000KT 6SM BR SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...MVFR CIG IMPRVG VFR CAVOK LATE PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNEDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MODERATE S WIND. .RADAR... AT 855 AM CDT...KLIX INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM NEAR DAUPHIN ISLAND IN MS SOUND MOVING NE 22KT INTO MOBILE BAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS 30-45DBZ RETURNS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS E OF THE MS RIVER SPREADING E 10KT OVER IMPACT AREAS...CELL MOVEMENT NE 25KT. NO LIGHTNING NOTED OVER OPEN GLFMEX WATERS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.57 FT (+0.05 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.77 FT AT 1110 AM CDT) WYCM6 1.47 FT (-0.17 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.75 FT AT 240 PM CDT) .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........99 100 100 100 100 96 91 91 86 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............78 79 80 80 81 81 81 81 80 RH..............87 84 80 79 79 77 77 79 81 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 CIGS (FT-AGL)...O13 O15 B22 B25 S25 S25 S70 S70 S70 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.18 14 14 14 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY............................ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........77 73 73 73 58 58 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............79 76 74 73 72 72 RH..............81 89 97 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SW 7 SW 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 600 600 700 600 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 180 180 210 180 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 10 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP.............................. .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 58 49 35 29 26 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 73 77 78 79 79 RH..............100 100 90 85 81 78 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 SW 5 E 5 NE 5 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....600 700 900 900 800 500 MIX HGT (M).....180 210 270 270 240 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SW 10 W 7 W 7 NW 9 N 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LIGHT CHOP................ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100503.DEEPW.05/LIX