FNUS74 KLIX 031613 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1113 AM CDT MON MAY 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... COLD FRONT FROM KPNS TO KBVE...INLAND PORTION MOVING E 10KT...AL COAST TO KBVE SWWARD HAS SLOWED AND NEARLY STATIONARY. VFR CLOUD CLEARING LINE NEAR KGAO AND ALREADY MOVED THROUGH KHSA...CIGS BKN-OVC060. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .SOUNDING... 15Z RUC13 MODEL SOUNDING FOR SPOT LOCATION SHOWS MARINE LAYER MIXING OUT TO 4000FT BY 17Z WITH COLUMN DRYING ABOVE 850MB. WINDS SW 10 KT SFC TO 200FT...SW 25-45KT TO 32KFT...SW 50KT ABOVE 32KFT. .NEARBY GULF AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W KIPN 031555Z AUTO 18011KT 2SM BR CLR 25/24 A2995 KMYT 031600Z AUTO 21008KT 1/2SM FG OVC006 25/24 A2993 KSPR 031600Z AUTO 04013KT 2 1/2SM BR BKN015 24/23 A2992 .AVIATION... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...50-55DBZ RETURNS...NOTED ALONG COLD FRONTAL ZONE. CELL MOVEMENT NE 28 KT. AREAL EXPANSION E AND SE. THUNDERSTORM GUSTS TO 35KT POSSIBLE ALONG WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RATES 2 INCHES PER HOUR. LOCAL CIGS VV002...VSBY BLO 1/2SM +TSRA. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 031600Z 0316/0416 02008KT P6SM OVC060 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= KBVE 031600Z 0316/0416 VV005KT 3SM -RA BR OVC005 TEMPO 0316/0317 23025G35KT 1/4SM +TSRA BR VV002 FM031700 24008KT P6SM SCT025 BKN080 FM032000 07005KT P6SM SCT025= KHSA 031600Z 0316/0416 02005KT P6SM SCT070 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM040200 00000KT 6SM BR SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...MVFR CIG IMPRVG VFR CAVOK LATE PM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNEDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MODERATE S WIND. .RADAR... AT 1055 AM CDT...HARD LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM MOBILE BAY TO KBVE...CELL MOVEMENT NE 25KT. LIGHTNING DETECTED AND INCREASING WITHIN THE STRONGER CELLS WITHIN AND WELL EAST OF THE LINE OVER GLFMEX WATERS E AND S OF MOUTH OF MS RIVER. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.80 FT (+0.10 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; +0.03 FROM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.77 FT AT 1110 AM CDT) WYCM6 1.86 FT (+0.03 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.75 FT AT 240 PM CDT) .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 100 96 91 91 86 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 80 81 81 81 81 80 RH..............80 79 79 77 77 79 81 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 CIGS (FT-AGL)...O13 B15 B22 S25 S25 S25 S70 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY.................... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........77 73 73 73 58 58 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............79 76 74 73 72 72 RH..............81 89 97 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SW 7 SW 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 600 600 700 600 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 180 180 210 180 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 10 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................ .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 58 49 35 29 26 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 73 77 78 79 79 RH..............100 100 90 85 81 78 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 SW 5 E 5 NE 5 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....600 700 900 900 800 500 MIX HGT (M).....180 210 270 270 240 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SW 10 W 7 W 7 NW 9 N 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LIGHT CHOP................ $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100503.DEEPW.07/LIX