FNUS74 KLIX 031715 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1215 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... COLD FRONT FROM 10E KPNS TO 10S PSTL1...INLAND PORTION MOVING E 10KT...W FL COAST TO PSTL1 SWWARD HAS SLOWED TO 5KT. VFR CLOUD CLEARING LINE ABOUT 6NW KBVE...CIGS IMPROVING TO BKN-OVC060. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .SOUNDING... /NO CHANGE/ 15Z RUC13 MODEL SOUNDING FOR SPOT LOCATION SHOWS MARINE LAYER MIXING OUT TO 4000FT BY 17Z WITH COLUMN DRYING ABOVE 850MB. WINDS SW 10 KT SFC TO 200FT...SW 25-45KT TO 32KFT...SW 50KT ABOVE 32KFT. .NEARBY GULF AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W KIPN 031655Z AUTO 18011KT 2SM BR CLR 25/24 A2994 KMYT 031700Z AUTO 20010KT 1/2SM FG OVC006 25/24 A2993 KSPR 031700Z AUTO 06011KT 4SM BR FEW028 FEW038 25/23 A2992 .AVIATION... VFR CLOUD DECK BKN-OVC060 EXTENDS EAST OF A KPIB-KHDC-KHUM LINE. MVFR CIG OVC015-025 ALONG AND W OF FRONTAL ZONE FROM KPNS-20S KBVE. IFR CIGS BKN005-010 E OF FRONTAL ZONE TO 50NM S AND E INTO OPERATIONS AREA. IFR CIGS TO LIFT TO MVFR BKN025 WITH CONVECTION THROUGH 19Z THEN IMPROVE TO BKN050-070 GENERALLY AFTER 19Z. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 031700Z 0317/0417 02008KT P6SM OVC060 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= KBVE 031700Z 0317/0417 VV005KT 3SM -RA BR OVC005 FM031800 VRB03KT P6SM SCT007 BKN025 FM031900 07005KT P6SM SCT025 BKN060= KHSA 031700Z 0317/0417 02005KT P6SM SCT070 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM040200 00000KT 6SM BR SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR CIG060 IMPRVG VFR CAVOK LATE AM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNEDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MODERATE S WIND. .RADAR... AT 1155 AM CDT...HARD LINE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FROM MOUTH OF MOBILE BAY...ALONG CHANDELEUR ISLANDS TO 100 NM SW OF PSTL1...MOVING NE 28KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.78 FT (+0.04 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; +0.01 FROM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.77 FT AT 1110 AM CDT) WYCM6 2.03 FT (-0.04 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.75 FT AT 240 PM CDT) .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........100 100 96 91 91 86 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............80 81 81 81 81 80 RH..............79 79 77 77 79 81 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 CIG (FT-AGL)....O13 B15 B25 S25 S25 B60 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........77 73 73 73 58 58 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............79 76 74 73 72 72 RH..............81 89 97 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SW 7 SW 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 600 600 700 600 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 180 180 210 180 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 10 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP........................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........58 58 49 35 29 26 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 73 77 78 79 79 RH..............100 100 90 85 81 78 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 SW 5 E 5 NE 5 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....600 700 900 900 800 500 MIX HGT (M).....180 210 270 270 240 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SW 10 W 7 W 7 NW 9 N 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LIGHT CHOP.................. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100503.DEEPW.08/LIX