FNUS74 KLIX 031810 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 110 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... COLD FRONT FROM KDTS TO 10NW SPOT LOCATION...MOVING SE 10KT. CD FROPA THROUGH SPOT LOCATION AROUND 145 PM CDT WITH WINDSHIFT AND IMPROVING CIGS. VFR CLOUD CLEARING LINE THROUGH KBVE...CIGS IMPROVING TO BKN-OVC060 OVER OPERATIONS AREA REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .SOUNDING... 17Z RUC13 MODEL SOUNDING FOR SPOT LOCATION SHOWS MIXED LAYER THROUGH 4KFT...ISOTHERMAL INVERSION 5500FT THEN SHALLOW LAPSE RATE ABOVE 850MB. WINDS SW 10 KT SFC TO 200FT...SW 35-45KT TO 35KFT...SW 50KT ABOVE 35KFT. .NEARBY GULF AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W KIPN 031755Z AUTO 20014KT 2SM BR CLR 25/24 A2994 KMYT 031800Z AUTO 20010KT 1/2SM FG OVC006 25/24 A2993 KSPR 031800Z AUTO 07011KT 3SM BR FEW029 24/23 A2992 .AVIATION... VFR CLOUD DECK BKN-OVC060 EXTENDS EAST OF A KPIB-KHDC-KHUM LINE. MVFR CIG OVC015-025 ALONG AND W OF FRONTAL ZONE FROM KPNS-20S KBVE. IFR CIGS BKN005-010 E OF FRONTAL ZONE TO 50NM S AND E INTO OPERATIONS AREA. IFR CIGS TO LIFT TO MVFR BKN025 WITH CONVECTION THROUGH 19Z THEN IMPROVE TO BKN050-070 GENERALLY AFTER 19Z. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 031800Z 0318/0418 02008KT P6SM OVC060 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= KBVE 031800Z 0318/0418 03010G15KT P6SM SCT030 BKN035 FM031900 07005KT P6SM SCT035 BKN060= KHSA 031800Z 0318/0418 04005KT P6SM SCT070 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM040200 00000KT 6SM BR SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR CIG060 IMPRVG VFR CAVOK LATE AM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNEDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MODERATE S WIND. .RADAR... AT 1255 PM CDT...A BAND OF SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM THE SPOT LOCATION N AND W TO THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER...MOVING NE 28KT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH LIGHTNING DETECTED 63 NM WSW OF SPOT LOCATION. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.76 FT (+0.05 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.01 FROM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.77 FT AT 1110 AM CDT) WYCM6 2.16 FT (0.00 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.57 FT AT 240 PM CDT) .REST OF TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........M M M M M WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 81 81 81 80 RH..............79 77 77 79 81 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 CIGS (FT-AGL)...025 B25 S25 S25 S60 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY............ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........M M M M M M WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............79 76 74 73 72 72 RH..............81 89 97 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SW 7 SW 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 600 600 700 600 MIX HGT (M).....150 150 180 180 210 180 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 12 S 12 S 12 S 10 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................. .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........M M M M M M WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 73 77 78 79 79 RH..............100 100 90 85 81 78 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 SW 5 E 5 NE 5 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....600 700 900 900 800 500 MIX HGT (M).....180 210 270 270 240 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SW 10 W 7 W 7 NW 9 N 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LIGHT CHOP................. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100503.DEEPW.09/LIX