FNUS74 KLIX 031911 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 211 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... COLD FRONT FROM KDTS TO SPOT LOCATION TO BUOY 42002...MOVING SE 9KT. VFR CLOUD CLEARING LINE THROUGH KBVE...CIGS IMPROVING TO BKN-OVC060 OVER OPERATIONS AREA REMAINDER OF AFTERNOON. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .SOUNDING... /NO CHANGE/ 17Z RUC13 MODEL SOUNDING FOR SPOT LOCATION SHOWS MIXED LAYER THROUGH 4KFT...ISOTHERMAL INVERSION 5500FT THEN SHALLOW LAPSE RATE ABOVE 850MB. WINDS SW 10 KT SFC TO 200FT...SW 35-45KT TO 35KFT...SW 50KT ABOVE 35KFT. .NEARBY GULF AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W KIPN 031835Z AUTO 19015KT 2SM BR CLR 26/25 A2993 KMYT 031840Z AUTO 20013KT 1/2SM FG OVC009 25/24 A2991 KSPR 031840Z AUTO 08007G13KT 050V120 3SM BR CLR 25/23 A2990 .AVIATION... VFR CLOUD DECK BKN060 EXPANDING EASTWARD THROUGH OPERATIONS AREA. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 031900Z 0319/0419 02008KT P6SM SCT060 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= KBVE 031900Z 0319/0419 03007KT P6SM BKN035 FM032000 07005KT P6SM SCT035 BKN060= KHSA 031900Z 0319/0419 04006KT P6SM SCT070 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM040200 00000KT 6SM BR SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR CIG060 IMPRVG VFR CAVOK LATE AM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNEDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MODERATE S WIND. .RADAR... AT 155 PM CDT...A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS 35 TO 50 NM W OF THE SPOT LOCATION MOVING NE 28KT AND SHOULD PASS ABOUT 12NM WNW OF SPOT LOCATION AT CLOSEST APPROACH. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTS 25KT EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS. 50NM WIDE BAND OF MOSTLY SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM THE NW FL PANHANDLE TO THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER TO 80NM S OF PORT FOURCHON. BAND IS NEARLY STATIONARY BUT CELL MOVEMENT NE 28KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.74 FT (0.00 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.03 FT FROM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.77 FT AT 1110 AM CDT WYCM6 2.34 FT (-0.11 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.23 FT FROM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.57 FT AT 240 PM CDT .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........88 89 89 89 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 81 81 80 RH..............77 77 79 81 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 CIGS (FT-AGL)...S25 B60 B60 S60 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 SEAS............4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY......... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........89 89 78 78 72 73 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 76 74 73 72 72 RH..............81 89 97 100 100 100 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SW 7 SW 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 500 500 500 500 MIX HGT (M).....150 180 150 150 150 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 14 S 12 S 12 S 14 S 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................. .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 76 43 43 10 9 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............71 73 77 78 79 79 RH..............100 100 90 85 81 78 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 5 SW 5 E 5 NE 5 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 5 MIX HGT (FT)....500 800 900 900 1100 700 MIX HGT (M).....150 240 270 270 340 210 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 W 14 W 10 W 10 N 8 NW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LIGHT CHOP.................. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100503.DEEPW.10/LIX