FNUS74 KLIX 032016 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 316 PM CDT MON MAY 3 2010 .SYNOPSIS... COLD FRONT FROM KPAM TO SPOT LOCATION TO SE OF BUOY 42002...MOVING SE 9KT. VFR CLOUD CLEARING LINE THROUGH OPERATIONS AREA AND PROGRESSING EAST. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .SOUNDING... /NO CHANGE/ 17Z RUC13 MODEL SOUNDING FOR SPOT LOCATION SHOWS MIXED LAYER THROUGH 4KFT...ISOTHERMAL INVERSION 5500FT THEN SHALLOW LAPSE RATE ABOVE 850MB. WINDS SW 10 KT SFC TO 200FT...SW 35-45KT TO 35KFT...SW 50KT ABOVE 35KFT. .NEARBY GULF AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W KIPN 031935Z AUTO 19012KT 2SM BR CLR 26/25 A2993 KMYT 031940Z AUTO 21009KT 1/4SM FG OVC006 25/24 A2991 KSPR 032000Z AUTO VRB05G11KT 2 1/2SM BR CLR 26/23 A2989 .AVIATION... VFR CLOUD DECK BKN060 EXPANDING EASTWARD THROUGH OPERATIONS AREA. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 032000Z 0320/0420 02008KT P6SM SCT060 FM040200 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250= KBVE 032000Z 0320/0420 09010KT P6SM BKN040 FM04000 07005KT P6SM SCT035 SCT060= KHSA 032000Z 0320/0420 05006KT P6SM SCT070 FM032000 VRB03KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM040200 00000KT 6SM BR SCT250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR CIG060 IMPRVG VFR CAVOK LATE AM. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNEDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR CAVOK. WINDS LIGHT. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MODERATE S WIND. .RADAR... AT 255 PM CDT...A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN MOUTH OF MS RIVER AND 20NM W OF SPOT LOCATION MOVING NE 28KT. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTS 25KT EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS. 50NM WIDE BAND OF MOSTLY SHOWERS EXTENDS FROM THE NW FL PANHANDLE TO THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER TO 50NM SE OF PORT FOURCHON. BAND IS NEARLY STATIONARY BUT CELL MOVEMENT NE 28KT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.56 FT (+0.06 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; OFF PEAK) WYCM6 2.48 FT (-0.06 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.06 FT FROM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.54 FT AT 240 PM CDT .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........89 89 89 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............81 81 80 RH..............77 75 75 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 CIGS (FT-AGL)...B60 B60 S60 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 SEAS............4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........89 89 78 78 72 73 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............79 76 73 73 72 71 RH..............75 79 82 79 82 85 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 9 S 8 S 7 SW 6 SW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 500 500 500 500 MIX HGT (M).....150 180 150 150 150 150 TRANSPORT WIND..S 9 S 14 S 12 S 12 S 14 S 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................... .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........73 76 43 43 10 9 WEATHER COV.....S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............70 72 76 78 79 79 RH..............88 84 76 73 72 69 20 FT WIND......W 5 NW 5 N 5 NE 4 N 3 NW 4 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 800 900 900 1100 700 MIX HGT (M).....150 240 270 270 340 210 TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 W 14 W 10 W 10 N 8 NW 1 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH TO A LIGHT CHOP.................. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY... CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SATURDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100503.DEEPW.11/LIX