FNUS73 KGRR 041136
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR PINE FLATS  4...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
736 AM EDT TUE MAY 4 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1330 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COUPLE OF SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO
INCREASING SUNSHINE AND WIND THE REST OF THE MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 25
                    MPH...THEN DECREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH LATE IN
                    THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL
                    FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7600-8100 FT AGL
                    DECREASING TO 5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    3600-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE DAY.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 900
                    (EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 1600-2000
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING
                    THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1200-1500
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT) THROUGH MID AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12 TO
                    21 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDDAY.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 25
                    MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 800-1200
                    (EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT).

$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100504.PINEF.02/GRR