FNAK71 PAFC 060421
FWSAER

SPOT FORECAST FOR FORT RICHARDSON RX...AFS/BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
821 PM AKDT WED MAY 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 AKDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS BRINGING
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS TO SOUTHCENTRAL THIS EVENING. SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH
IN THE EVENING...ALTHOUGH REMNANT INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION
THURSDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS BUT WILL POSSIBLY MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THE ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WIND 8 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH
                    5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT EARLY IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 200 FT OR LESS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS DEVELOPING OVER
                    THE MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 4 MPH BECOMING WEST 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT INCREASING TO 1500 FT LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS FRIAR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100506.FORTR.01/AER