FNUS73 KDDC 061104 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR WU 58 61...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 604 AM CDT THU MAY 6 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 06. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM CDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION... PREVAILING WIND DIRECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE DURATION OF BURN TIME. 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 MPH AT THE BEGINNING OF THE BURN TO 17 TO 23 MPH BY THE END OF THE BURN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY GUSTY TOWARD THE END OF THE BURN AS MIXING DEPTH INCREASES UNDER SUNNY SKY CONDITIONS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY WITH DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO THE LOWER 30S PERCENT BY THE END OF THE BURN. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED DURING BURN TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000-7300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........33 36 44 39 40 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............57 68 76 81 83 RH..............62 45 31 32 28 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 S 12 SE 11 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 30 25 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 S 12 SE 11 WIND GUST..25 25 30 30 25 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44. MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....BREEZY. EAST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. EAST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. CWR.................50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO EAST 37 TO 45 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTH AND INCREASING TO 52 TO 60 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING DECREASING TO 46 TO 48 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........50 60 73 83 77 69 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............79 65 57 53 49 45 RH..............34 52 64 71 71 73 20 FT WIND......SE 9 E 13 NE 16 N 20 N 18 N 18 20 FT WIND GUST.20 30 35 40 40 35 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 9 E 13 NE 16 N 20 N 18 N 18 WIND GUST..20 30 35 40 40 35 HAINES INDEX....5 5 4 3 2 3 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 37 TO 45 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........63 52 36 25 20 14 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 49 55 59 62 63 RH..............68 50 37 29 26 26 20 FT WIND......N 14 N 15 N 15 NW 14 N 14 N 13 20 FT WIND GUST.30 35 30 30 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..N 14 N 15 N 15 NW 14 N 14 N 13 WIND GUST..30 35 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 4 4 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .MONDAY... CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...UMSCHEID REQUESTED BY...WILLIAM WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100506.WU586.01/DDC