FNUS75 KGJT 052153
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
353 PM MDT WED MAY 5 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE I-70 CORRIDOR
THURSDAY...THEN WEAKEN. AS A RESULT WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT
WILL BE ERRATIC IN DIRECTION BUT FAVOR THE WEST. FRIDAY WESTERLY
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL CONTINUE BUT WARMING ALOFT WILL SLIGHTLY REDUCE
THE MIXING HEIGHT AND RESULTANT SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH AFTER 1100. GUSTS UP TO
                    35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR BY MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...LATHAN JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100506.RESER.01/GJT