FNUS71 KRNK 061156
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK GARDEN...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
756 AM EDT THU MAY 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0830 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COOL FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND SPILL
SOUTH INTO THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT. A WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND WILL BE
INCREASING ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
HELP DROP HUMIDITIES DOWN IN THE 20S OVER THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY
AND ROANOKE VALLEYS...AS WELL AS SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
THIS FRONT IS MAINLY DRY AND ONLY EXPECT SOME ISOLATED SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA
BORDER THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WORKS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
FRIDAY WITH A COLD FRONT ARRIVING SATURDAY. THIS FRONT WILL BRING
COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 0 TO 8
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    WEST 15 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............5      13     24     37     42
WEATHER COV.........                     S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP................59     62     66     68     68
                    MIN HUMIDITY........65     59     50     50     52
WIND (20 FT)........W 8    W 10   W 9    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     20     25     20     15
CWR.................10     10     10     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...PERRY
REQUESTED BY...COOKIE PATTERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20100506.ELKGA.01/RNK