FNUS75 KGJT 062115
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RESERVOIR GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
315 PM MDT THU MAY 6 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AND LIGHTER WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
BE OVER THE BURN SITE FRIDAY. SATURDAY THE FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN
DRY BUT INCREASE AND BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST. COOLER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...WARMING TO NEAR NORMAL SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL BY
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR (15100 KNOT-FT) BY 2100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50% MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH
                    AFTER 1100. A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11200-39200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH INCREASING TO 23 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...LATHAN JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100507.RESER.01/GJT