FNUS72 KJAX 071326
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARY RX FIRE...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
926 AM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HOT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL TO NEAR 40 PERCENT TODAY AT
THE SPOT FORECAST AREA.

ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A COLD FRONT
ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL
PUSH INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS POSSIBLE
OVER INLAND AREAS SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH TODAY. WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO
15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH ON SATURDAY. ONSHORE FLOW AT 15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 20 MPH AT TIMES SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO NEAR 6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.
CHANCE OF PCPN......5-10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     27     25     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     86     89     89
RH..............65     51     43     42
20 FT WIND......WSW 3  SW 5   SW 6   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      8      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   4200   6300   6300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8    W 5    SW 7   SW 7
DISPERSION INDX.17     24     48     48
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........26     27     27     25     23     23
WEATHER COV.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP............87     82     77     74     72     70
RH..............46     57     67     75     82     89
20 FT WIND......SW 8   S 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 5   W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10            10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     0      0      0      10     10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
                    PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...MARK NEELY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100507.CARYR.01/JAX