FNUS71 KRNK 071249
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK GARDEN...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
849 AM EDT FRI MAY 7 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0815 EDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL VERY LOW TODAY BUT INCREASES SATURDAY
MORNING...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TODAY WHILE A
WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE REGION. AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORM CAN NOT BE RULED EAST OF THE AREA OF CONCERN IN CENTRAL
GRAYSON COUNTY...BUT CHANCES ARE VERY LOW. A STRONG COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BRING
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE ELK GARDEN REGION.
STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE. COLDER AND DRIER HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK BEFORE
ANOTHER WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO
                    12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    23 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      1      6      16     32
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................55     65     67     70     72
                    MIN HUMIDITY........76     57     52     45     45
WIND (20 FT)........S 5    S 6    S 6    S 7    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     20
CWR.................0      0      0      10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SLEIGHTER
REQUESTED BY...COOKIE PATTERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20100507.ELKGA.01/RNK