FNUS74 KBMX 081133
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
633 AM CDT SAT MAY 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 08.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWESTERLY WIND WILL INCREASE TODAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
A CAPPING INVERSION WILL LIMIT ANY STORM DEVELOPMENT
TODAY...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED STORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE TRACKING ACROSS NORTHERN ALABAMA AND
TENNESSEE WILL BRING ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES TO THE AREA ON
SUNDAY.  TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST AROUND 20
KNOTS TODAY...SHIFTING MORE NORTHEASTERLY TOMORROW AND
DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 10 KNOTS.


.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     68     70     72     72
RH..............61     53     43     34     31
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 9   NW 10  NW 10  NW 9
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   3600   4000   3800   3700
TRANSPORT WIND..N 23   N 20   NW 17  NW 15  NW 15
DISPERSION......31     69     64     55     54

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     65     60     56     52     50
RH..............31     39     49     57     65     67
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 6   N 3    N 5    N 3    N 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3600   2400   600    500    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16  NW 16  N 14   N 14   N 13   N 12
DISPERSION......57     49     12     6      6      5

.SUNDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     53     59     63     66     69
RH..............75     61     46     39     35     32
20 FT WIND......N 3    NE 6   NE 7   NE 6   N 5    NW 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1800   2500   3200   3800   4100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   NE 16  NE 14  NE 10  N 8    N 6
DISPERSION......7      7      9      40     37     28

$$
FORECASTER...SIRMON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100508.HORSE.01/BMX