FNUS72 KJAX 091838
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOTHER DAY FIRE...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
238 PM EDT SUN MAY 9 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1424 EDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

MUCH DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES IN THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON.
NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN GENERALLY AROUND 10 MPH WITH
THE OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUST POSSIBLE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 13 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18  18  22  22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............81  82  82  80
RH..............26  27  30  34
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..10  9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.4 4.4 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  14  14  13
DISPERSION INDX.54  54  54  46

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........22     21     21     28     24     24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............77     73     67     64     62     60
RH..............34     43     59     69     74     77
20 FT WIND......NE 7   NE 5   NE 3   NE 3   E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3700   1300   1300   300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13   E 12   E 12   E 7    E 5    E 5
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....63.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100509.MOTHE.01/JAX