FNUS76 KMFR 090427
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH MORTAR COYOTE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
927 PM PDT SAT MAY 8 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 PDT ON MAY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THEN GRADUALLY MOVE INLAND. THIS WILL BRING
INCREASED MOISTURE AND SHOWERS TO THE AREA. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  THEN...A STRONGER
PACIFIC LOW WILL APPROACH THE REGION EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH THE
LOW CENTER MOVING INLAND JUST TO THE SOUTH OVER NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN TO THE AREA
MONDAY...THEN SHOWERS TRANSITIONING TO SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY EVENING.
ALSO GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY MORNING
AND AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES INLAND. THEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM OFFSHORE...BRINGING WARMING AND DRYING
CONDITIONS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MID TO LATE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
                    NEAR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 3000-4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING THEN
                    INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    6 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-46.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 3 TO 6 WITH
                    GUSTS TO 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND
                    NORTHWEST IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                     IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON THEN SHIFTING
                     TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................85 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES HESCOCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100509.NORTH.01/MFR