FNUS73 KAPX 101149 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR FLETCHER BURN...DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 749 AM EDT MON MAY 10 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 10. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GREAT DAY FOR BURNING WITH JUST A LIGHT WIND FROM THE EAST BUT REMAINING UNDER 10 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE EXPECT MAINLY SUNNY SKIES WITH JUST SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT LATE. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE DECENT WITH SAID MIXING HELPING LOWER AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. THE LAKE MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZE MAY ATTEMPT TO KICK THROUGH THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON (4-5PM OR SO)...WHICH WOULD TEMPORARILY SHIFT WINDS AROUND TO A MORE NORTHERLY DIRECTION. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS AT IGNITION TIME BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH AROUND 3PM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL AT IGNITION INCREASING TO 7000-7400 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (400). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........31 31 47 47 47 57 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............50 52 53 55 56 56 RH..............31 29 28 25 24 24 20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......400 300 300 300 400 400 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....38. MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........57 57 74 74 74 74 74 74 93 93 93 93 WEATHER COV..... CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN TEMP............56 55 54 51 48 45 43 42 41 40 40 40 RH..............24 26 27 30 34 40 45 48 52 57 59 62 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 $$ FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100510.FLETC.01/APX