FNUS74 KLIX 101011 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 511 AM CDT MON MAY 10 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1030MB HIGH CENTERED OVER MICHIGAN IS RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WHILE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OF PAST SATURDAY IS MOVING SLOWLY N AS A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE CNTRL GLFMEX. A LOCALIZED 1020MB HIGH CENTER IS LOCATED S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER. A 6MB GRADIENT EXTENDS FROM THE HIGH TO THE TX COAST 1014MB. A FLATTER GRADIENT IS E OF THE HIGH TO THE W FL COAST 1019MB. SPOT LOCATION 1020MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .WIND PROFILE... 09Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...NE 12KT 250FT...NE 10KT 500FT...NE 10KT 1KFT...NE 9KT 2KFT... E 12KT 3KFT...SE 11KT 4KFT... S 3KT 5KFT... W 3KT MAX WIND...258/50KT 45.6KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1800FT...WARM LAPSE TO 4100FT...DRY LAPSE TO 9200FT... INVERSION TO 13.2KFT...DRY LAPSE ABV 13.2KFT. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 0.83 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 100951Z AUTO 07005KT 10SM CLR 21/17 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP197 T02060167 TSNO METAR KGAO 100945Z AUTO 07005KT 10SM CLR 19/15 A3011 METAR KHSA MISG METAR KIPN 100955Z AUTO 07012KT 10SM 24/15 A3011 METAR KMYT 100955Z AUTO 10012KT 10SM CLR 23/16 A3010 METAR KSPR 101000Z AUTO 13013KT 10SM 24/19 A3009 METAR KMDJ 100955Z AUTO 11012KT 10SM OVC043 24/14 A3011 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CAVOK SCT-BKN200. AFT 15Z VFR SCT040. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVOK SCT040 SCT250. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 101000Z 1010/1110 04005KT P6SM SCT250 FM101500 09005KT P6SM SCT033 SCT250 TEMPO 1016/1019 BKN033 FM101900 15008KT P6SM SCT035 FM110100 13003KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 1109/1110 4SM BR= KBVE 101000Z 1010/1110 07007KT P6SM SCT250 FM101500 13008KT P6SM SCT028 SCT250 TEMPO 1016/1019 BKN032 FM101900 15010G17KT P6SM SCT035 FM110100 14010KT P6SM SKC= KHSA 101000Z 1010/1110 05003KT P6SM SCT250 FM101500 08005KT P6SM FEW028 FM101800 15010KT P6SM SCT028 TEMPO 1018/1021 BKN035 FM110100 12005KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 1108/1110 5SM BR= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT025-030. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES DETECTED NEAR COAST OR OVER NRN GLFMEX. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.18 FT (-0.05 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.13 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.31 FT AT 653 AM CDT WYCM6 0.87 FT (+0.09 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.51 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.38 FT AT 1054 AM CDT RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...MON MAY 10TH HI 12 56 PM STAGE 1.2 LO 10 48 PM STAGE 0.2 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 76.5F .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........39 48 48 48 61 61 61 61 56 56 56 37 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............72 72 74 76 78 80 82 82 83 83 83 83 82 RH..............93 93 93 87 85 79 76 73 72 71 71 73 73 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 10 11 11 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 17 17 17 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 8 8 8 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S33................................................ SEAS............2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH..........LIGHT CHOP........................ .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........37 32 46 46 29 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............82 79 76 75 74 74 RH..............73 80 87 91 93 93 20 FT WIND......SE 11 SE 11 SE 12 SE 13 SE 13 SE 12 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1100 1100 1100 1100 1200 MIX HGT (M).....340 340 340 340 340 370 TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 SE 14 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 SE 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................. .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........40 46 51 51 68 58 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............74 76 78 79 80 80 RH..............90 84 78 79 79 79 20 FT WIND......SE 11 SE 10 SE 11 SE 10 SE 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 25 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1300 1400 1400 1400 1300 MIX HGT (M).....370 400 430 430 430 400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 17 SE 22 SE 22 SE 18 SE 17 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............5 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY.................................. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100510.DEEPW.01/LIX