FNUS74 KLIX 101213 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 713 AM CDT MON MAY 10 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1030MB HIGH CENTERED OVER MICHIGAN IS RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN U.S. WHILE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OF PAST SATURDAY IS MOVING SLOWLY N AS A WARM FRONT ACROSS THE CNTRL GLFMEX. A LOCALIZED 1020MB HIGH IS CENTERED S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER. A 7MB GRADIENT EXTENDS FROM THE GLFMEX HIGH TO THE TX COAST 1013MB. A FLATTER GRADIENT IS E OF THE GLFMEX HIGH TO THE W FL COAST 1019MB. SPOT LOCATION 1020MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ENE 13KT 250FT...ENE 12KT 500FT...NE 12KT 1KFT...NE 11KT 2KFT...ESE 10KT 3KFT...SE 6KT 4KFT...NW 2KT 5KFT...NNW 5KT MAX WIND...256/49KT 46.3KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1200FT...WARM LAPSE TO 3600FT...DRY LAPSE TO 7900FT...ERODING INVERSION TO 12.6KFT...DRY LAPSE ABV 12.6KFT. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 0.82 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 101151Z AUTO 09005KT 10SM CLR 21/17 A3013 METAR KGAO 101145Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 20/16 A3012 METAR KHSA 101155Z 07004KT 10SM CLR 16/10 A3014 METAR KIPN 101135Z AUTO 08016KT 10SM CLR 24/15 A3011 METAR KMYT 101135Z AUTO 09013KT 9SM CLR 24/15 A3012 METAR KSPR 101140Z AUTO 13013KT 10SM 24/19 A3010 METAR KMDJ 101135Z AUTO 11015KT 10SM CLR 24/16 A3013 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CAVOK SCT-BKN200. AFT 15Z VFR SCT035-040. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVOK SCT040 SCT250. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 101200Z 1012/1112 04005KT P6SM SCT250 FM101500 09005KT P6SM SCT033 SCT250 TEMPO 1016/1019 BKN033 FM101900 15008KT P6SM SCT035 FM110100 13003KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 1109/1112 4SM BR= KBVE 101200Z 1012/1112 07007KT P6SM SCT250 FM101500 13008KT P6SM SCT028 SCT250 TEMPO 1016/1019 BKN032 FM101900 15010G17KT P6SM SCT035 FM110100 14010KT P6SM SKC= KHSA 101200Z 1012/1112 05003KT P6SM SCT250 FM101500 08005KT P6SM FEW028 FM101800 15010KT P6SM SCT028 TEMPO 1018/1021 BKN035 FM110100 12005KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 1108/1112 4SM BR= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT025-030. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES DETECTED NEAR COAST OR OVER NRN GLFMEX. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.25 FT (-0.02 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.02 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.27 FT AT 655 AM CDT WYCM6 1.23 FT (-0.03 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.26 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.49 FT AT 1054 AM CDT RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...MON MAY 10TH HI 12 56 PM STAGE 1.2 LO 10 48 PM STAGE 0.2 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 76.5F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........51 51 58 58 58 58 47 47 54 54 54 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 73 75 77 79 80 80 80 80 80 79 RH..............66 67 67 63 60 58 57 58 58 60 61 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 18 18 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S33........................................ SEAS............2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......SMOOTH............LIGHT CHOP............... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 38 50 50 55 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 76 73 73 72 72 RH..............61 71 81 87 93 93 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 9 SE 11 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1400 1400 1400 1300 1200 MIX HGT (M).....400 430 430 430 400 370 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 21 S 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................ .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........39 48 61 61 56 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 74 78 82 83 83 RH..............93 87 79 73 71 71 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 20 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 1200 1200 1100 1100 MIX HGT (M).....370 340 370 370 340 340 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 17 SE 10 SE 10 SE 13 S 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100510.DEEPW.03/LIX