FNUS74 KLIX 101506 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1006 AM CDT MON MAY 10 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1030MB HIGH CENTERED OVER MICHIGAN IS RIDGING TO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. WK FRONTAL ZONE FM S FL...WNW TO MID-GULF...NW TO UPR TX COAST...MOVG SLOWLY N. A LOCALIZED 1021MB HIGH IS CENTERED S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MS RIVER. A 7MB GRADIENT EXTENDS FROM THE GLFMEX HIGH TO THE TX COAST 1014MB. A 2MB GRADIENT IS E OF THE GLFMEX HIGH TO THE W FL COAST 1022MB...RIDGE BLDG SSE INTO EXTREME NE GLFMEX. SPOT LOCATION 1021MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE. .WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... E 14KT 250FT... E 15KT 500FT... E 15KT 1KFT... E 16KT 2KFT...SE 11KT 3KFT...SE 9KT 4KFT...SE 3KT 5KFT...NE 8KT MAX WIND...268/48KT 46.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1200FT...WARM LAPSE TO 3500FT...DRY LAPSE TO 7900FT...ERODING INVERSION TO 11.7KFT...DRY LAPSE ABV 11.7KFT. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 0.95 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 101451Z AUTO 13010KT 10SM CLR 26/16 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP206 T02560161 53004 TSNO METAR KGAO 101445Z AUTO 08008KT 052V112 10SM CLR 26/18 A3012 METAR KHSA 101451Z 11008KT 10SM CLR 23/15 A3014 METAR KIPN 101430Z AUTO 11013G18KT 10SM CLR 24/17 A3013 METAR KMYT 101435Z AUTO 12014KT 9SM CLR 24/17 A3012 METAR KSPR 101440Z AUTO 14014KT 10SM 25/20 A3010 METAR KMDJ 101435Z AUTO 14017KT 10SM CLR 24/17 A3013 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR CAVOK SCT200. AFT 15Z VFR SCT035-040. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CAVOK SCT040 SCT250. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 101500Z 1015/1115 10006KT P6SM SCT033 SCT250 TEMPO 1016/1019 BKN033 FM101900 15008KT P6SM SCT035 FM110100 13003KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 1109/1113 4SM BR= KBVE 101500Z 1015/1115 13007KT P6SM SCT032 SCT250 TEMPO 1016/1019 BKN032 FM101900 15010G17KT P6SM SCT035 FM110100 14010KT P6SM SKC= KHSA 101500Z 1015/1115 11006KT P6SM FEW030 SCT250 FM101800 15010KT P6SM SCT035 TEMPO 1018/1020 BKN035 FM110100 12005KT P6SM SKC TEMPO 1109/1113 4SM BR= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...VFR SCT025-030. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES DETECTED NEAR COAST OR OVER NRN GLFMEX. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.23 FT (+0.11 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.27 FT AT 655 AM CDT WYCM6 1.85 FT (+0.45 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; +0.36 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.49 FT AT 1054 AM CDT RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...MON MAY 10TH HI 12 56 PM STAGE 1.2 LO 10 48 PM STAGE 0.2 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 76.3F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........58 58 58 47 47 54 54 54 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 79 80 80 80 80 80 79 RH..............63 60 58 57 58 58 60 61 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 9 8 7 6 7 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 15 15 10 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 18 17 17 17 17 17 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 CEILINGS........S33............................ SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP..................... .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........54 38 50 50 55 39 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 76 73 73 72 72 RH..............61 71 81 87 93 93 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 9 SE 11 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 1400 1400 1400 1300 1200 MIX HGT (M).....400 430 430 430 400 370 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 21 S 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP............................. .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........39 48 61 61 56 37 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 74 78 82 83 83 RH..............93 87 79 73 71 71 20 FT WIND......S 10 S 9 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 S 11 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 20 25 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 1200 1200 1100 1100 MIX HGT (M).....370 340 370 370 340 340 TRANSPORT WIND..S 24 S 17 SE 10 SE 10 SE 13 S 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......LIGHT CHOP.............................. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .SUNDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100510.DEEPW.06/LIX