FNUS75 KGJT 120429
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPIN MESA...UTE MOUNTAIN AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1029 PM MDT TUE MAY 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1825 MDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT PASSED TUESDAY AFTERNOON...PRODUCING
ABOUT 10 DEGREES OF COOLING FOR THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS LOOK TO STAY
NORTH OF THE BURN SITE TODAY BUT WATCH FOR AFTERNOON VIRGA AND
ASSOCIATED GUSTY WINDS. THE ASSOCIATED UPPER LOW IS LIFTING
NORTHEAST OUT OF NORTHERN COLORADO TODAY. PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS
INCREASES TONIGHT. A DISORGANIZED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LINGERS
OVER WESTERN COLORADO THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH A WARMING TREND EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-31%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. LOCAL GUSTY WINDS
                    POSSIBLE NEAR AFTERNOON VIRGA.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR. GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...INCREASING TO 7500
                    FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED EARLY MORNING
                    SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-30%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE MORNING...GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...JOE MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100511.CHAPI.01/GJT