FNUS72 KJAX 111057
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOTHER S DAY FIRE...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
657 AM EDT TUE MAY 11 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0653 EDT ON MAY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES WILL
SHIFT OVER THE ATLANTIC OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALLOWING FOR A
CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW REGIME. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE VALUES WILL BE ON
THE INCREASE THROUGH THE PERIOD...TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE IN
TANDEM ALLOWING FOR BORDERLINE RED FLAG CONDITIONS FOR INLAND
PORTIONS. DURATIONS HOWEVER ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WELL SHORT OF
CRITERIA AND NO FLAGS ARE IN EFFECT.

WINDS EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE LOCALLY BREEZY ALONG AND
EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH
POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............MISSING.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........38     59     59     51     53     53
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     69     79     84     86     85
RH..............100    95     65     52     46     47
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 7    SE 10  SE 10  SE 8   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1500   3900   3900   6400   6400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14  E 16   SE 16  SE 13  SE 9   SE 13
LVORI...........M      M      M      M      M      M
DISPERSION INDX.6      31     47     47     64     64
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........53     51     51     46     44     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............83     77     72     69     67     65
RH..............51     63     76     83     88     93
20 FT WIND......SE 8   SE 9   SE 8   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10     10            10
MIX HGT (FT)....5100   1400   1400   900    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13  SE 15  SE 15  SE 10  SE 7   SE 7
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
DISPERSION INDX.39     17     17     7      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-6500 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100511.MOTHE.01/JAX