FNUS74 KLIX 111306 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 806 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1005MB LOW IS NEAR PEORIA IL WITH ASSOCD CD FRNT EXTNDG INTO W TX. A 14MB E-W GRADIENT WAS STRENGTHENING ACROSS GLFMEX...1023MB W FL COAST...1009MB LWR TX COAST. SE FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE ENTIRE N GLFMEX. SPOT LOCATION PRESSURE 1019MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...WFO MOB MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG BEACHES OF AL AND W FL PANHANDLE. .WIND PROFILE... 11Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 15KT 250FT...SE 18KT 500FT...SE 21KT 1KFT...SE 27KT 2KFT...SE 22KT 3KFT...SE 18KT 4KFT...SE 23KT 5KFT...SE 24KT MAX WIND...257/57KT 46.8KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...WARM LAPSE TO 9500FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 9500FT. MOIST TO 960MB/1700FT. P.W. 1.11 IN. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...175/02KT 1KFT...180/21KT 2KFT...205/22KT 3KFT...195/20KT 4KFT...190/24KT 5KFT...185/25KT MAX WIND...INDETERMINANT...PARTIAL...FLGT STILL IN PROGRESS. DRY LAPSE TO 3950FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 7200FT...SHALLOW LAPSE TO 10.4KFT ...DRY LAPSE ABV 10.4KFT. MOIST PROFILE TO 888MB/4000FT. P.W. 1.29 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 111251Z AUTO 12005KT 7SM CLR 24/22 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP190 T02440222 TSNO METAR KGAO 111242Z AUTO 10005KT 7SM BKN001 OVC009 24/23 A3007 METAR KHSA 111253Z 17009KT 10SM SCT015 BKN029 BKN034 23/22 A3008 METAR KIPN 111235Z AUTO 13012KT 10SM CLR 26/22 A3007 METAR KMYT 111235Z AUTO 14009G15KT 1 3/4SM HZ SCT026 SCT030 BKN034 25/23 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 111240Z AUTO 17012G17KT 5SM BR 25/23 A3003 METAR KMDJ 111235Z AUTO 15013KT 7SM SCT046 25/23 A3006 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR CIGS BKN022-026 LCL VSBY 5-6SM BR TIL 15Z. AFT 15Z VFR CIGS SCT-BKN033-036. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CIGS SCT015-020 OCNL MVFR BKN015-020 TIL 15Z. AFT 15Z VFR CIGS SCT022-028...LCL MVFR BKN028. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 111300Z 1113/1212 12003KT 4SM BR BKN015 BKN030 FM111430 15008KT P6SM SCT018 BKN035 FM111700 16010G16KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14003KT P6SM SKC= KBVE 111300Z 1113/1212 12003KT 5SM BR SCT025 TEMPO 1112/1114 BKN025 FM111400 15010KT P6SM SCT028 FM111800 15012G18KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 111300Z 1113/1212 15005KT P6SM SCT020 SCT035 TEMPO 1113/1115 5SM BR BKN020 BKN035 FM111500 16010KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14005KT P6SM SKC= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT025-035. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES INDICATED ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE N GLFMEX. A BAND OF RAPIDLY DEVELOPING SHRA...PSBL TSRA...70NM E OF N PADRE ISL TX...515NM WSW OF SPOT LOCATION...MOVG NE 50KT. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.51 FT (+0.10 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; AT PEAK) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 1.58 FT AT 653 AM CDT WYCM6 1.72 FT (-0.32 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.39 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.11 FT AT 1054 AM CDT RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 76.3F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........54 59 59 59 59 33 33 33 31 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 78 78 78 78 79 79 79 79 78 RH..............81 82 82 82 82 82 79 79 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........S22 S24 S28 B28 S32.................... SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........31 22 25 25 20 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 78 77 76 75 75 RH..............85 85 87 87 90 87 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 1100 1100 900 1000 MIX HGT (M).....370 340 340 340 270 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 21 S 24 S 24 S 26 SE 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............3 3 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................ .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 56 64 64 54 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 75 77 78 78 78 RH..............87 87 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1200 1400 1400 1600 1500 MIX HGT (M).....300 370 430 430 490 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 25 SE 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY......ROUGH...................... .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100511.DEEPW.04/LIX