FNUS74 KLIX 111412 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 912 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1005MB LOW IS NEAR PEORIA IL WITH ASSOCD CD FRNT EXTNDG INTO W TX RIO GRANDE VALLEY. E-W GRADIENT WAS TIGHTENING ACROSS GLFMEX...1023MB W FL COAST...1009MB LWR TX COAST. SE FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE ENTIRE N GLFMEX. SPOT LOCATION PRESSURE 1020MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...WFO MOB MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG BEACHES OF AL AND W FL PANHANDLE. .WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 14KT 250FT...SE 15KT 500FT...SE 19KT 1KFT...SE 25KT 2KFT...SE 26KT 3KFT...SE 18KT 4KFT...SE 22KT 5KFT...SE 26KT MAX WIND...261/59KT 45.6KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 1900FT...WARM LAPSE TO 9500FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 9500FT. MOIST TO 960MB/1700FT. P.W. 1.11 IN. 12Z KLIX SOUNDING SFC...175/02KT 1KFT...180/21KT 2KFT...205/22KT 3KFT...195/20KT 4KFT...190/24KT 5KFT...185/25KT MAX WIND...264/66KT 40.4KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3950FT...ISOTHERMAL TO 7200FT...SHALLOW LAPSE TO 10.4KFT ...DRY LAPSE ABV 10.4KFT. MOIST PROFILE TO 888MB/3900FT. P.W. 1.29 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 111351Z AUTO 16010KT 8SM CLR 26/23 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP195 T02610228 TSNO METAR KGAO 111342Z AUTO 13009G16KT 10SM SCT001 BKN013 26/23 A3009 METAR KHSA 111351Z 18007KT 10SM BKN016 BKN022 BKN027 25/22 A3010 METAR KIPN 111335Z AUTO 13013KT 10SM FEW031 25/23 A3009 METAR KMYT 111335Z AUTO 16011KT 2SM HZ FEW025 25/23 A3008 METAR KSPR 111340Z AUTO 16012KT 6SM BR 25/23 A3005 METAR KMDJ 111335Z AUTO 14009KT 6SM BR SCT027 BKN043 25/23 A3010 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...MVFR CIGS BKN022-026 LCL VSBY 5-6SM BR TIL 15Z. AFT 15Z VFR CIGS SCT-BKN033-036. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR CIGS SCT015-020 OCNL MVFR BKN015-020 TIL 15Z. AFT 15Z VFR CIGS SCT022-028...LCL MVFR BKN028. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 111400Z 1114/1212 15003KT P6SM BKN015 BKN030 TEMPO 1114/1116 SCT015 BKN032 FM111700 16010G16KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14003KT P6SM SKC= KBVE 111400Z 1114/1212 12003KT 5SM BR SCT025 TEMPO 1114/1116 BKN025 FM111600 15010KT P6SM SCT028 FM111800 15012G18KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 111400Z 1114/1212 15005KT P6SM SCT016 BKN027 TEMPO 1114/1115 BKN016 BKN027 FM111500 16010KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14005KT P6SM SKC= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT025-035. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES INDICATED ALONG THE COAST AND OVER N-CNTRL GLFMEX. A CLUSTER OF SHRA...PSBL TSRA...NR 27.8N 94.8W...395NM W OF SPOT LOCATION...MOVG NE 33KT. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.48 FT (+0.11 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING) WYCM6 1.85 FT (-0.19 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.26 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.11 FT AT 1054 AM CDT RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 76.3F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........59 59 59 59 33 33 33 31 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............78 78 78 78 79 79 79 79 78 RH..............82 82 82 82 82 79 79 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........S24 S28 B28 S32................... SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY............................ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........31 22 25 25 20 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 78 77 76 75 75 RH..............85 85 87 87 90 87 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 1100 1100 900 1000 MIX HGT (M).....370 340 340 340 270 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 21 S 24 S 24 S 26 SE 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............3 3 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................. .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 56 64 64 54 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 75 77 78 78 78 RH..............87 87 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1200 1400 1400 1600 1500 MIX HGT (M).....300 370 430 430 490 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 25 SE 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY......ROUGH....................... .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100511.DEEPW.05/LIX