FNUS74 KLIX 111515 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1015 AM CDT TUE MAY 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1006MB OCCLUDED LOW OVR NW IL WITH ASSOCD CD FRNT EXTNDG INTO W TX RIO GRANDE VALLEY. E-W 13MB GRADIENT WAS TIGHTENING ACROSS WRN GLFMEX...1024MB W FL COAST...1011MB LWR TX COAST. SE FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE ENTIRE N GLFMEX. SPOT LOCATION PRESSURE 1020MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...WFO MOB MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG BEACHES OF AL AND W FL PANHANDLE. .WIND PROFILE... 14Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 9KT 250FT...SE 13KT 500FT...SE 16KT 1KFT...SE 22KT 2KFT...SE 22KT 3KFT...SE 19KT 4KFT...SE 23KT 5KFT...SSE 25KT MAX WIND...267/54KT 46.1KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2600FT...WARM LAPSE TO 9600FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 9600FT. MOIST TO 923MB/2900FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.20 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 111451Z AUTO 17009KT 9SM CLR 27/22 A3012 RMK SLP200 T02720222 51024 TSNO METAR KGAO 111442Z AUTO 13010G19KT 10SM SCT018 BKN025 28/23 A3010 SPECI KHSA 111452Z 17009KT 10SM BKN018 BKN026 OVC033 25/21 A3012 METAR KIPN 111455Z AUTO 10008KT 10SM CLR 26/23 A3014 METAR KMYT 111455Z AUTO 17011KT 3SM HZ CLR 27/23 A3011 METAR KSPR 111500Z AUTO 15012KT 7SM 26/23 A3008 METAR KMDJ 111455Z AUTO 13008KT 5SM BR BKN022 OVC027 25/23 A3012 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR BASES SCT025-028 BKN032-037. NO SIG WX. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR BASES SCT025-030...LCL CIGS BKN030. NO SIG WX. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 111500Z 1115/1212 15003KT P6SM BKN015 BKN030 TEMPO 1115/1116 SCT015 BKN032 FM111700 16010G16KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14003KT P6SM SKC= KBVE 111500Z 1115/1212 12003KT 5SM BR SCT025 TEMPO 1115/1116 BKN025 FM111600 15010KT P6SM SCT028 FM111800 15012G18KT P6SM SCT040= KHSA 111500Z 1115/1212 15005KT P6SM SCT016 BKN027 FM111700 16010KT P6SM SCT035 FM120100 14005KT P6SM SKC FM120900 14003KT 4SM BR BKN007= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT025-035. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES INDICATED ALONG THE COAST AND OVER N-CNTRL GLFMEX. A NARROW BAND OF LOW TOPPED SHRA EXTNDS FROM KEYW-KPNS ALG A CONVG ZONE...MOVG NNW 15KT. SCT SHRA OVR NW GLFMEX. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.31 FT (+0.04 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING) WYCM6 1.98 FT (-0.12 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; -0.13 FT FM PHT) PROJECTED HIGH TIDE 2.11 FT AT 1054 AM CDT RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 76.6F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........59 59 59 33 33 33 31 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............78 78 78 79 79 79 79 78 RH..............82 82 82 82 79 79 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 15 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........S25 B25 S32................... SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY........................ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........31 22 25 25 20 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 78 77 76 75 75 RH..............85 85 87 87 90 87 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 1100 1100 900 1000 MIX HGT (M).....370 340 340 340 270 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 21 S 24 S 24 S 26 SE 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............3 3 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY............................... .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 56 64 64 54 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 75 77 78 78 78 RH..............87 87 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1200 1400 1400 1600 1500 MIX HGT (M).....300 370 430 430 490 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 25 SE 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY......ROUGH...................... .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100511.DEEPW.06/LIX