FNUS74 KLIX 111819 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 119 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1009MB OCCLUDED LOW NR CHICAGO WITH ASSOCD STNRY FRNT EXTNDG INTO W TX BIG BEND AREA. NE-SW ORIENTED 10MB GRADIENT ACROSS WRN GLFMEX... 1021MB W FL COAST...1011MB LWR TX COAST. SE FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS THE ENTIRE N GLFMEX. SPOT LOCATION PRESSURE 1021MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...WFO MOB MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG BEACHES OF AL AND W FL PANHANDLE. .WIND PROFILE... 16Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 8KT 250FT...SE 12KT 500FT...SE 17KT 1KFT...SE 21KT 2KFT... S 20KT 3KFT... S 21KT 4KFT... S 25KT 5KFT... S 25KT MAX WIND...259/46KT 40.2KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 3500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 9300FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 9300FT. MOIST TO 898MB/3600FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.07 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 111751Z AUTO 15012KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP198 T02890217 10294 20228 58001 TSNO METAR KGAO 111802Z AUTO 13011G16KT 10SM SCT023 SCT028 SCT034 30/22 A3010 METAR KHSA 111752Z 15012G17KT 10SM SCT024 BKN039 BKN049 28/21 A3010 METAR KIPN 111755Z AUTO 12011KT 10SM CLR 26/23 A3013 METAR KMYT 111755Z AUTO 15007KT 3SM HZ CLR 26/23 A3011 METAR KSPR 111800Z AUTO 15013KT 9SM 27/23 A3007 METAR KMDJ 111755Z AUTO 14010KT 6SM BR CLR 26/24 A3012 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035-040. NO SIG WX. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT028-032...LCL CIGS BKN030. NO SIG WX. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 111800Z 1118/1218 15006KT P6SM SCT025 SCT040 FM111900 16010G16KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14003KT P6SM SKC FM120800 00000KT 4SM BR BKN008 FM121430 14007KT P6SM BKN022 FM121700 16010KT P6SM SCT032= KBVE 111800Z 1118/1218 15010KT P6SM SCT035 FM120100 15007KT P6SM FEW012 SCT025 FM121200 15003KT 5SM BR BKN012 BKN025 FM121430 16006KT P6SM BKN028 FM121700 16010KT P6SM SCT032= KHSA 111800Z 1118/1218 15010G17KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14005KT P6SM SKC FM120900 14003KT 4SM BR BKN007 FM121430 15007KT P6SM BKN015 FM121630 16010G15KT P6SM SCT032 TEMPO 1217/1218 BKN028= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...VFR SCT025-035. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES INDICATED ALONG THE COAST AND OVER N-CNTRL GLFMEX. A NARROW BAND OF SCT LOW TOPPED SHRA EXTNDS FROM KEYW-KPNS ALG A CONVG ZONE...CELLS MOVG NNW 15KT. SCT SHRA OVR NW GLFMEX. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.76 FT (+0.03 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING) WYCM6 1.68 FT (-0.07 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING) RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 77.7F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........33 33 33 31 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 79 79 79 78 RH..............82 79 79 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........S32.............. SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY............ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........31 22 25 25 20 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............78 78 77 76 75 75 RH..............85 85 87 87 90 87 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 12 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 1100 1100 900 1000 MIX HGT (M).....370 340 340 340 270 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 21 S 24 S 24 S 26 SE 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............3 3 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................. .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 56 64 64 54 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 75 77 78 78 78 RH..............87 87 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1200 1400 1400 1600 1500 MIX HGT (M).....300 370 430 430 490 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 25 SE 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY.......ROUGH...................... $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100511.DEEPW.09/LIX