FNUS74 KLIX 111906 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 206 PM CDT TUE MAY 11 2010 .SYNOPSIS... 1009MB OCCLUDED LOW NR KIND WITH ASSOCD STNRY FRNT EXTNDG INTO W TX BIG BEND AREA. NE-SW ORIENTED 9MB GRADIENT ACROSS WRN GLFMEX... 1021MB W FL COAST...1012MB LWR TX COAST. LGT SE FLOW PREVAILS ACROSS NE GLFMEX...MDT SE FLOW ACROSS NW GLFMEX. SPOT LOCATION PRESSURE 1021MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...WFO MOB MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG BEACHES OF AL AND W FL PANHANDLE. .WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 8KT 250FT...SE 13KT 500FT...SE 16KT 1KFT...SE 20KT 2KFT... S 18KT 3KFT... S 15KT 4KFT...SSW 22KT 5KFT...SSW 26KT MAX WIND...254/47KT 46.3KFT. DRY LAPSE TO 2700FT...WARM LAPSE TO 9600FT...DRY LAPSE ABV 9600FT. MOIST TO 926MB/2800FT...DRY ABV. P.W. 1.09 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 111851Z AUTO 16010KT 10SM CLR 29/22 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP195 T02890217 TSNO METAR KGAO 111842Z AUTO 13009G19KT 10SM SCT025 SCT031 29/21 A3009 METAR KHSA 111851Z 15012G18KT 10SM SCT025 BKN032 BKN043 28/21 A3009 METAR KIPN 111835Z AUTO 12009KT 10SM CLR 26/23 A3012 METAR KMYT 111835Z AUTO 15008KT 3SM HZ CLR 26/23 A3010 METAR KSPR 111840Z AUTO 14015KT 8SM 27/23 A3006 METAR KMDJ 111835Z AUTO 14011KT 6SM BR CLR 26/24 A3011 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT035-040. NO SIG WX. MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR SCT028-032...LCL CIGS BKN030. NO SIG WX. SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHUM 111900Z 1119/1218 15007G17KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14003KT P6SM SKC FM120800 00000KT 4SM BR BKN008 FM121430 14007KT P6SM BKN022 FM121700 16010KT P6SM SCT032= KBVE 111900Z 1119/1218 15010KT P6SM SCT035 FM120100 15007KT P6SM FEW012 SCT025 FM121200 15003KT 5SM BR BKN012 BKN025 FM121430 16006KT P6SM BKN028 FM121700 16010KT P6SM SCT032= KHSA 111900Z 1119/1218 15010G17KT P6SM SCT040 FM120100 14005KT P6SM SKC FM120900 14003KT 4SM BR BKN007 FM121430 15007KT P6SM BKN015 FM121630 16010G15KT P6SM SCT032 TEMPO 1217/1218 BKN028= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WEDNESDAY...MVFR BKN022-028 AM. VFR SCT030-035 PM. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY...VFR SCT020. MDT SE WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY...VFR CAVOK. MDT E WND. .RADAR... NO ECHOES INDICATED ALONG THE COAST AND OVER N-CNTRL GLFMEX. A NARROW BAND OF ISOLD LOW TOPPED SHRA EXTNDS FROM KEYW-KPNS ALG A CONVG ZONE...CELLS MOVG NNW 15KT. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.62 FT (+0.09 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING) WYCM6 1.55 FT (00.00 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; FALLING) RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...TUE MAY 11TH HI 1 06 PM STAGE 1.5 LO 11 23 PM STAGE 0.1 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12TH HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13TH LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 77.7F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........33 33 31 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 79 79 79 RH..............79 79 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 CEILINGS........S32........... SEAS............3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY........ .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........31 22 25 25 20 30 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 77 76 76 76 75 RH..............85 85 87 87 90 87 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 12 SE 11 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 1100 1100 900 1000 MIX HGT (M).....370 340 340 340 270 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 21 S 24 S 24 S 26 SE 26 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 SEAS............3 3 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................. .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........30 56 64 64 54 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 76 78 78 79 78 RH..............87 87 85 85 85 85 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1200 1400 1400 1600 1500 MIX HGT (M).....300 370 430 430 490 460 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 26 SE 25 SE 25 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY........ROUGH.................... .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .SUNDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS AROUND 80. .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS/24 REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100511.DEEPW.10/LIX