FNUS75 KBOU 112312 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR JAMES CREEK PFBF1...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 502 PM MDT TUE MAY 11 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...THE STORM SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY MOVE INTO NORTHEAST WYOMING ON WEDNESDAY WITH A DECREASE IN SNOWFALL EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA DURING THE DAY. SNOW ACCUMLATIONS WILL BE 10 TO 18 INCHES BY LATE WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1400-2000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW. MAX TEMPERATURE.....37. MIN HUMIDITY........89%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5400 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR. GOOD AFTER 0900. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....20. MAX HUMIDITY........100%. WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....41. MIN HUMIDITY........56%. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-7000 FT AGL AFTER 0700. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JAMES CREEK PFBF1. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 05/11-17 100 74 39 79 N 5 1 4459 S 20 76537 G 05/11-18 100 100 40 74 NW 3 3 2 1 S45 4119 SE 15 53156 F 05/11-19 100 100 39 77 NW 3 1 3431 S 14 42437 F 05/11-20 100 100 36 84 NW 5 1 2743 W 13 31719 P 05/11-21 100 100 34 90 NW 6 6 2 1 S47 2055 W 12 21000 P 05/11-22 100 100 32 94 NW 6 1 1895 W 12 18988 P 05/11-23 100 100 30 97 W 5 1 1734 W 12 16976 P 05/12-00 100 100 29 100 W 5 5 2 1 S32 1574 W 12 14964 P 05/12-01 100 100 28 100 W 5 1 1544 NW 10 14610 P 05/12-02 100 100 27 100 NW 5 1 1513 NW 10 14257 P 05/12-03 100 100 26 100 NW 5 5 2 1 S17 1483 NW 10 13904 P 05/12-04 100 100 26 100 NW 5 1 1631 NW 13 17656 P 05/12-05 100 100 26 100 NW 3 1 1780 W 14 21408 P 05/12-06 100 100 26 100 NW 3 3 2 1 S 6 1929 W 15 25161 P 05/12-07 100 100 27 100 NW 3 1 2837 W 15 37508 P 05/12-08 100 100 28 100 N 3 1 3745 NW 15 49855 F 05/12-09 100 100 30 97 NE 3 3 2 1 W 7 4653 NW 15 62202 G 05/12-10 100 100 32 92 NE 3 1 4887 NW 15 63972 G 05/12-11 100 100 33 90 NE 5 1 5121 NW 15 65742 G 05/12-12 100 40 34 89 NE 5 5 2 1 W14 5354 W 15 67512 G 05/12-13 100 40 35 89 NE 5 1 5351 W 15 71241 G 05/12-14 100 40 36 91 NE 3 1 5348 W 16 74969 G 05/12-15 100 40 36 92 N 3 3 2 1 W22 5345 W 17 78697 G 05/12-16 100 40 36 96 NE 3 1 5289 W 17 81451 G 05/12-17 100 40 35 100 NE 3 1 5233 W 18 84205 G 05/12-18 91 40 34 100 NE 3 3 3 1 W26 5176 W 20 86960 G 05/12-19 91 40 33 100 NE 3 1 4342 W 16 65999 G 05/12-20 91 40 31 100 E 5 1 3508 W 14 45039 F 05/12-21 91 40 28 98 E 6 6 3 1 W29 2673 W 10 24079 P 05/12-22 91 40 27 100 E 5 1 2495 NW 9 22136 P 05/12-23 91 40 26 100 S 3 1 1953 NW 7 13568 P 05/13-00 76 40 25 100 SW 2 2 2 1 W25 1410 NW 5 5000 P 05/13-01 76 40 24 100 SW 2 1 1125 NW 3 3589 P 05/13-02 76 40 23 100 S 2 1 839 NW 2 2178 P 05/13-03 76 40 22 95 S 2 2 2 1 W25 553 CALM 766 P 05/13-04 76 40 21 91 SW 2 1 500 W 2 897 P 05/13-05 76 40 21 89 SW 3 1 446 W 2 1028 P 05/13-06 65 10 21 88 W 3 3 2 1 W25 393 W 3 1160 P 05/13-07 65 10 23 84 SW 3 1 1642 NW 3 6612 P 05/13-08 65 10 26 74 SE 2 1 2891 NW 5 12064 P 05/13-09 65 10 30 66 E 2 2 2 1 W16 4140 NW 5 17516 P 05/13-10 65 10 33 60 E 3 1 4969 NW 5 16190 P 05/13-11 65 10 35 58 E 5 1 5799 W 3 14864 P 05/13-12 69 20 38 56 E 5 5 2 1 W20 6628 W 2 13538 P 05/13-13 69 20 39 58 NE 3 1 6769 W 3 21346 P 05/13-14 69 20 39 60 NW 2 1 6909 W 5 29154 P 05/13-15 69 20 40 62 CALM 0 2 1 W24 7050 W 6 36962 P 05/13-16 69 20 40 64 CALM 1 6890 SW 7 38986 P 05/13-17 69 20 40 66 CALM 1 6730 SW 7 41010 F 05/13-18 69 20 40 69 CALM 1 2 1 W17 6570 S 8 43035 F 05/13-19 69 20 39 71 SW 2 1 5945 S 9 45157 F 05/13-20 69 20 37 76 S 3 1 5320 S 10 47278 F 05/13-21 69 20 36 80 SE 3 3 3 1 SW13 4695 S 13 49400 F 05/13-22 69 20 34 83 SE 3 1 4337 S 13 47674 F 05/13-23 69 20 33 86 S 3 1 3978 S 14 45948 F 05/14-00 83 0 33 88 S 3 3 2 1 W33 3620 S 14 44222 F 05/14-01 83 0 32 91 S 3 1 3159 S 13 34763 P 05/14-02 83 0 31 94 S 5 1 2699 S 10 25303 P 05/14-03 83 0 31 96 SE 5 5 2 1 SW59 2238 S 8 15844 P 05/14-04 83 0 31 98 S 5 1 1926 S 7 12697 P 05/14-05 83 0 31 99 S 6 1 1615 SW 7 9549 P 05/14-06 77 0 31 99 S 6 6 2 1 W51 1303 SW 6 6402 P 05/14-07 77 0 31 95 S 6 1 2197 SW 7 13538 P 05/14-08 77 0 35 83 S 5 1 3091 W 7 20674 P 05/14-09 77 0 38 74 S 5 5 2 1 W51 3985 W 8 27810 P 05/14-10 77 0 40 68 S 5 1 5162 W 9 42488 F 05/14-11 77 0 42 64 S 3 1 6339 W 10 57165 F 05/14-12 78 20 44 61 SE 3 3 2 3 SW44 7516 W 12 71843 G 05/14-13 78 20 45 59 S 3 3 7701 W 13 81785 G 05/14-14 78 20 46 58 S 3 3 7886 W 14 91726 G 05/14-15 78 20 46 57 SW 3 3 2 3 SW37 8072 SW 15 101668 V 05/14-16 78 20 46 56 SW 3 3 7736 W 15 100983 V 05/14-17 78 20 46 57 SW 2 3 7400 W 16 100297 V 05/14-18 78 20 45 59 SW 2 2 2 3 SW39 7064 W 16 99612 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER/ENTREKIN REQUESTED BY...BILL ALAKAI REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100512.JAMES.01/BOU