FNUS75 KEPZ 130127
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
727 PM MDT WED MAY 12 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WILLOW RX...GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
653 PM MDT WED MAY 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MAY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE ALOFT TO OUR SOUTHWEST...WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE BURN SITE THROUGH WEEKS END.
SUSTAINED AFTERNOON WINDS SHOULD BE ROUGHLY 7 TO 10 MPH LIGHTER
THURSDAY...HOWEVER OCCASIONAL GUSTS WILL LIKELY APPROACH THE HIGH
TEENS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  THE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CARRY VERY WEAK
DISTURBANCES OVER THE BURN SITE...WHICH MAY LEAD TO A FEW AFTERNOON
CUMULUS CLOUDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY..AND WINDS A LITTLE HIGHER FRIDAY.
 LOOK FOR AFTERNOON WIND DIRECTIONS TO VARY BETWEEN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
AND WEST THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LOCAL NIGHT-TIME DRAINAGES
EXPECTED EACH EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 4 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS APPROACHING
                    18 MPH MID AND LATE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
MAX HUMIDITY........37-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    AND SHIFTING NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH TOWARDS
                    MIDNIGHT. WINDS CONTINUING TO SHIFT SOUTHEAST
                    6 TO 9 MPH TOWARDS MORNING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    AND SHIFTING SOUTHWEST 12 TO 17 MPH MID-DAY
                    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.OUTLOOK
HIGHS MAY COOL A DEGREE OR TWO SATURDAY...WITH LIGHTER WINDS THAN
FRIDAY EXPECTED. AFTERNOON CLOUDS MAY DEVELOP BOTH DAYS.  HIGHS
SHOULD REACH THE MID AND UPPER 70S ON SATURDAY...APPROACHING
80 ON SUNDAY.

$$

REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U