FNUS73 KGRR 121453
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HOUSEMAN LAKE PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1053 AM EDT WED MAY 12 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL BE FEATURED TODAY IN THE BALDWIN AREA ALONG
WITH EASTERLY BREEZES AND MIN RH VALUES NOT EXPECTED TO DIP MUCH BELOW
60 PERCENT. DRY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT BEFORE
SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM MOVE IN DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
RAIN ALONG WITH A THREAT FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

                    TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-4500
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO
                    800-900 (EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 25 TO 29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 21 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...HOVING
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100512.HOUSE.01/GRR