FNUS74 KLIX 121400 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 900 AM CDT WED MAY 12 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... 1028MB HIGH CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WITH RIDGE AXIS STRETCHING DUE WEST ACROSS THE NRN GULF COAST. 1001MB LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES. THIS IS KEEPING THE AREA ENTRENCHED IN DEEP SRLY/SERLY FLOW. PRESSURE AT SPOT LOCATION 1018MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... NONE OVER SPOT AREA. .WIND PROFILE... 20Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC... SE 15KT 250FT... SE 18KT 500FT... SE 21KT 1KFT... SE 23KT 2KFT...SSE 23KT 3KFT...SSE 25KT 4KFT...SSE 28KT 5KFT...SSE 27KT MAX WIND...279/51KT 46.1KFT. MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE TO 3500FT...WARM LAPSE TO 7200FT... DRY LAPSE ABOVE. DRY ENTIRE COLUMN. P.W. 1.04 IN. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W METAR KBVE 121351Z AUTO 12009KT 6SM HZ FEW013 27/24 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP188 T02670239 TSNO METAR KGAO 121342Z AUTO 12014G19KT 10SM SCT001 BKN012 27/23 A3006 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 121350Z 16012G17KT 10SM BKN014 BKN022 BKN029 26/23 A3008 METAR KIPN 121335Z AUTO 12017KT 10SM CLR 26/24 A3007 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 121335Z AUTO 13015KT 1SM BR SCT022 26/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 121340Z AUTO 15018KT 5SM BR 26/24 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 121335Z AUTO 13015KT 4SM BR CLR 26/24 A3006 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT015-030. NO SIG WX. MVFR-VFR VISBIES 3SM-P6SM MARINE AREA BTWN 27-30N/87-90W...VFR BKN250... VISBIES >6SM...LCL 3SM SYNTHETIC TAFS /UNOFFICIAL/ FOR PLANNING PURPOSES ONLY KHSA 121052Z 1211/1306 15007G16KT P6SM BKN014 BKN020 TEMPO 1214/1216 16009G17KT SCT020 FM121600 17011G19KT P6SM SCT035 SCT250 TEMPO 1216/1220 BKN030 FM122100 17009G19KT P6SM FEW025 SCT250 FM130200 15006KT P6SM SCT250 FM130900 14005KT P6SM SCT009= KHUM 121052Z 1211/1306 17007KT P6SM FEW012 SCT250 FM121630 17012G21KT P6SM SCT015 SCT040 FM122100 16012G19KT P6SM FEW025 FM130500 16009KT P6SM SCT020 TEMPO 1307/1311 BKN018= .RADAR... NO ECHOES DETECTED NEAR COAST OR OVER NRN GLFMEX. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED GLFMEX. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.68 FT (+0.29 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; STEADY) WYCM6 2.17 FT (+0.53 FT OFF FORECAST TRACE; RISING) RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...WED MAY 12 2010 HI 1 29 PM STAGE 1.6 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...THU MAY 13 2010 LO 12 03 AM STAGE -0.1 HI 2 00 PM STAGE 1.8 RIGOLETS...LAKE BORGNE...FRI MAY 14 2010 LO 12 48 AM STAGE -0.2 HI 2 36 PM STAGE 1.9 BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 77F .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........68 65 64 64 64 54 54 54 45 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............76 76 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 75 RH..............94 94 94 97 97 97 97 97 97 94 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 25 25 25 24 24 24 22 22 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY................................. HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 43 43 43 23 23 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 75 75 75 75 75 RH..............94 90 90 87 87 90 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 11 SE 12 SE 11 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1300 900 600 600 800 1000 MIX HGT (M).....400 270 180 180 240 300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 22 SE 21 SE 24 SE 24 SE 26 SE 24 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............4 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY.................................. HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........23 37 37 37 54 54 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 75 76 76 76 76 RH..............87 86 87 90 90 87 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1300 1500 1500 1700 1400 MIX HGT (M).....300 400 460 460 520 430 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 24 SE 21 SE 21 SE 21 SE 22 SE 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............5 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CHOPPY.................................. HRLY RAIN (IN)..0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...TIM ERICKSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100512.DEEPW.04/LIX